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Mike 03

(16,616 posts)
Wed Aug 12, 2020, 04:00 PM Aug 2020

Accuracy of U.S. coronavirus data thrown into question as decline in testing skews drop in new cases

CNBC
PUBLISHED WED, AUG 12 2020 3:36 PM EDT
Will Feuer
Nate Rattner

KEY POINTS

- The country recorded an average of 52,875 new cases every day over the last seven days, down 19% from 65,285 new cases per day on July 28.

- However, Covid-19 testing has declined as well, falling from an average of about 814,000 tests per day two weeks ago to about 716,000, a 12% decline, over the same two-week period.

- In Texas, new Covid-19 cases have fallen by 10% over the last two weeks, but testing is down by 53% over the same time.

For the first time in months, the daily growth of new coronavirus cases in the U.S. has steadily fallen over the past two weeks, giving some hope to U.S. officials who proclaimed there were "signs of progress" in Southern states that were hit particularly hard.

"No one's declaring victory," Adm. Brett Giroir, an assistant secretary at HHS, told reporters on a July 30 conference call. "We continue to see signs of progress across the Sun Belt and diffusely throughout the country."

But testing shortages in key states and other gaps in Covid-19 data call into question the accuracy of those numbers and whether the outbreak in the U.S. is really improving or whether cases are simply going undiagnosed, epidemiologists say.


Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2020/08/12/accuracy-of-us-coronavirus-data-thrown-into-question-as-decline-in-testing-skews-drop-in-new-cases.html


11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Accuracy of U.S. coronavirus data thrown into question as decline in testing skews drop in new cases (Original Post) Mike 03 Aug 2020 OP
US averages 1000+ CV deaths/day for 16 straight days struggle4progress Aug 2020 #1
If you just stop testing the virus will go away. onecaliberal Aug 2020 #2
"When you don't test you have no cases!" SoonerPride Aug 2020 #3
A decline isn't real until you see deaths drop. DBoon Aug 2020 #4
We could have a drop in Covid deaths but a simultaneous sharp rise tanyev Aug 2020 #10
The deaths tell the real story intrepidity Aug 2020 #5
Here's an article from a MONTH ago spinbaby Aug 2020 #6
Meanwhile Texas Positivity Rate Has Increased from 12.5% to 21% in Roughly Same Period Stallion Aug 2020 #7
People feeling like they don't need to go get tested? Roland99 Aug 2020 #8
Thanks - I have been quite skeptical of the sudden and rather steep drop in cases rurallib Aug 2020 #9
Pig boy Trump can't handle the truth Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Aug 2020 #11

DBoon

(22,362 posts)
4. A decline isn't real until you see deaths drop.
Wed Aug 12, 2020, 04:15 PM
Aug 2020

It's harder to hide corpses than it is to stop testing

tanyev

(42,552 posts)
10. We could have a drop in Covid deaths but a simultaneous sharp rise
Wed Aug 12, 2020, 05:10 PM
Aug 2020

in ‘unexplained’ deaths.

intrepidity

(7,294 posts)
5. The deaths tell the real story
Wed Aug 12, 2020, 04:18 PM
Aug 2020

Surprisingly, testing for death is incredibly easy; no special swabs or PCR machines or reagents required. Also, no two-week wait for results.

Stallion

(6,474 posts)
7. Meanwhile Texas Positivity Rate Has Increased from 12.5% to 21% in Roughly Same Period
Wed Aug 12, 2020, 04:27 PM
Aug 2020

....not to mention unprecedented excess deaths in Texas

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
8. People feeling like they don't need to go get tested?
Wed Aug 12, 2020, 04:34 PM
Aug 2020

As cases start to drop, people feel less uncertain and less likely then to go get a test?

Cases rise and people maybe feel more uncertain and go get a test?

rurallib

(62,410 posts)
9. Thanks - I have been quite skeptical of the sudden and rather steep drop in cases
Wed Aug 12, 2020, 04:39 PM
Aug 2020

just as school openings are on the horizon. So - just as I thought - rig the data.

Beside not testing, can we rely on anything reported in red states especially in states like Florida, Texas and Arizona?

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