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RandySF

(58,776 posts)
Mon Aug 31, 2020, 03:34 AM Aug 2020

FL: Donald Trump is winning Pasco County, but not by the margin he should

It’s likely little surprise Donald Trump is more popular than Joe Biden in right-leaning Pasco County. But a newly released St. Pete Polls survey shows things look tighter there than the Presidential race finished in 2016.

If the election were held today, about 57% of Pasco County voters would vote to reelect Trump and just over 39% would pick Biden. Some 1% go third party and fewer than 3% remain undecided.

So how’s that compare to the 2016 results? That year, Trump won almost 59% of the Pasco vote while Democrat Hillary Clinton won just over 37%. Nearly 4% of voters picked a third party option such as Libertarian Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

The bottom line, Trump won the conservative county by 22% in 2016 but leads by just 18% now. That 4-percentage-point difference could mean dividends in Florida, a state Trump won by just 1.2% in his last election and one whose electoral votes he likely needs in order to secure a second term.



https://floridapolitics.com/archives/362800-donald-trump-is-winning-pasco-county-but-not-by-the-margin-he-should


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FL: Donald Trump is winning Pasco County, but not by the margin he should (Original Post) RandySF Aug 2020 OP
A 4 Point Swing is Not Impressive. We Saw Swings Away of 20+ Points in Some Races in 2018. Indykatie Aug 2020 #1
On the other hand, the same pollster shows Biden 14 ahead in Eid Ma Clack Shaw Aug 2020 #2
It is Pasco County -- that is all the swing any Dem will get obamanut2012 Aug 2020 #4
Pasco abuts the county I live in. I hate it here. Native Aug 2020 #3
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