The Dam Is Breaking...The Dam Is Breaking...Civitas (R) NC Poll-Obama D (49%) Romney (R) 45&

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.nccivitas.org/2012/civitas-poll-obama-biden-lead-gop-ticket/

[LiberalLoner]

1. Woo hoo

[nc4bo]

2. Gary Johnson 4%......oh yes!

Hope to see GJ's #'s increase some more while R/R's simultaneously go down!

[speedoo]

3. It's LIKELY voters!

I have been expecting NC to turn blue and it appears to be happening.

[corkhead]

8. follows the pattern of 4 years ago when Obama picked the state up late in the game

[Jennicut]

4. Civitas usually has a right wing bias too, as an obvious Repub pollster.

Seems like things in NC might be moving in the Dem's direction.

These are the last few polls on NC:

RCP Average 9/7 - 9/19 -- -- 47.8 46.8 Obama +1.0

Civitas (R) 9/18 - 9/19 600 LV 4.0 49 45 Obama +4
Purple Strategies 9/15 - 9/19 600 LV 4.0 48 46 Obama +2
Rasmussen Reports 9/13 - 9/13 500 LV 4.5 45 51 Romney +6
High Point 9/8 - 9/18 448 RV 4.7 48 44 Obama +4
PPP (D) 9/7 - 9/9 1087 LV 3.0 49 48 Obama +1

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html

[Major Nikon]

14. Yep, kinda hard for the wingnuts to claim bias on that one

I bet the tears have already started to fall for many.

[barbtries]

5. YES.

all we need to do is GOTV and this state is blue again!

[OneGrassRoot]

6. Yes #2!!!

Barbtries, I am SO sorry I wasn't able to make it on Sunday.

I WILL meet you guys in person soon.

[barbtries]

18. missed you!

it was really fun!

[oswaldactedalone]

7. I was completely surprised at the GOTV turnout

at the OFA office in Greensboro yesterday. Had to be 400 or so people volunteering for GOTV in our county. I was shocked at the turnout as 8 and 12 years ago we could barely get 30 volunteers to the local county office.

[K Gardner]

9. Our ground game is working ! And Romney is helping, LOL..n/t

[tarheelsunc]

10. As much as I want to trust this...

After the last poll Civitas put out, they pretty much lost all credibility. There's no possible way such a drastic swing occurred in NC between these last two polls, I think Romney was +10 last time. I think at best Obama is tied or 1 point ahead in NC now.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. Same Sponsor-Different Pollster

That was a just bad poll. It showed Romney getting 30% of the African American vote in NC. He will be lucky to get 5%.

[DemKittyNC]

11. YES!!!!

So proud of my STATE! Go N.C. for Obama!!!!!! We will be blue once again and I couldn't be more proud.


I knew it had to go blue, I see absolutely no support around here at all for Rmoney.

[mountain grammy]

12. Gary Johnson is on the ballot in 47 states

If I were a sane Republican (I know, that's an oxymoron) and wanted to enact change in America to reflect another direction than that of the President's, I could vote for Gary Johnson. I would encourage all my die hard Republican friends to do just that.

[Major Nikon]

15. Holy shit! Grab the guns and bibles, boys! We're headed south.

[yardwork]

16. We need help with the gubernatorial election in North Carolina and the state legislature.

Regaining the NC state legislature is probably a loss cause for now due to redistricting (note to voters - don't vote in the Republicans in a census year - they get to redraw the districts to make sure that they never have to give back power) but we desperately need to avoid a Republican governor. I hope that President Obama and the national DNC will help us.

[wildeyed]

17. I am hoping that the OFA blue crush will sweep in Dalton and a few others.

We NEED to get Dalton in, just to hold the line on the seriously crappy legislature.

Any polls on the House races? Jennifer Roberts is tied with Pittenger in the previously solidly Republican 9th. Curious how Kissel is looking int the 8th and what Shuler's old district is doing.

[SleeplessinSoCal]

19. I wish the TPM tracker showed the same

Romney 47%
Obama 46.7%

dated 8/24/12