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Tue Sep 22, 2020, 11:22 AM

The Race Is More Stable Than We Thought

https://politicalwire.com/2020/09/22/the-race-is-more-stable-than-we-thought/

The Race Is More Stable Than We Thought
September 22, 2020 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard


Nate Cohn says an anomaly in the USC-Dornsife tracking poll falsely suggested the presidential race showed signs of tightening.

“The poll now shows a fundamentally stable race, with Mr. Biden maintaining something like a 10-point lead, rather than a volatile race that has swung from Biden plus-13 to Biden plus-7 and back. With U.S.C. showing less change, an important point in the case for substantial tightening can be crossed off the list.

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Reply The Race Is More Stable Than We Thought (Original post)
babylonsister Sep 22 OP
Dr. Jack Sep 22 #1
Thekaspervote Sep 22 #2

Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Tue Sep 22, 2020, 11:25 AM

1. Biden has been leading Trump by at least 5 points in the averages for over 500 days

I think anyone who thinks the race is going to suddenly become a toss up in the final few weeks is delusional/a Trump supporter. Sure, we can scream about "just vote, polls don't matter, remember 2016! Blah blah blah blah blah" but objectively, if we take the fear and emition out of it, Trump has been very, very likely to lose for at least the past year, if not longer.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Tue Sep 22, 2020, 11:42 AM

2. Just looked at the USDORNSLIFE poll, and yes it's right at 10 pts

They were the only pollster that said trump would win in 16. Granted, he did not win the popular vote, but they had HRC down by 3-5 pts just before the election

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