Great Quinnipiac Georgia Poll!

[Proud liberal 80]

Kind of too good to be true

51-44 Biden

https://poll.qu.edu/georgia/release-detail?ReleaseID=3679

[NewJeffCT]

1. Not sure if they have corrected it or not

But, the Q poll used to have a very small R bias.

[Roland99]

3. they seem to have had very optimistic Dem numbers of late

maybe they overcorrected?

[NewJeffCT]

5. it's possible

by "used to have" - I mean from before 2016 even.

[Indykatie]

8. Quinipiac Are B Rated at Silver's 538 but They Actually Have Had a Slight D Lean (D+0.2)

I posted the link to 538's pollster ratings below. In these final weeks everybody and their brother will be issuing polls. This will help sort out the trash polls. I have a rule that I don't pay any attention to pollsters that haven't done enough polls to be rated at 538.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

[NewJeffCT]

9. thanks

when I mentioned that they USED to have a slight R lean, it was before the 2016 election.

[BannonsLiver]

2. Good numbers

I hope our resident Doomer doesn’t mind me saying that.

[Chainfire]

4. I will believe those numbers on election day.

It sounds too good to be true.

[NewJeffCT]

10. I agree that it seems overly positive

but, Stacey Abrams has been busting her tail on voting issues and GOTV

[SharonClark]

6. 538 moved GA from trump to Biden slightly

ahead today. It’s been trending that way in GA but still seems too good to be accurate.

We’ll see what happens November 3.

[Poiuyt]

7. The problem is that Georgian Republicans are REALLY good at cheating

I still project that Georgia will go to Trump.

Hope I'm wrong

[lostnfound]

13. Agreed. They have set up numerous systems for cheating

Fingers crossed.

[Demsrule86]

11. Great News...

[grantcart]

12. 7 points may be a bit over but 4-5 points are reasonable

Polls cannot see how thick the ice is.

In estimating the ice covering of two lakes you might see one that is 80% covered and the other that is 85% covered.

What you really want to know is how thick is the ice.

What those in line in Georgia and elsewhere are showing is that for the Democrats the ice is 20 feet deep.

On the other lake some of the ice is 10 feet deep but a lot of it can be measured in inches.

So even though I find Quinnipiac numbers overly optimistic there is still a good possibility that they are closer to the actual temperature in the race.