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Fri Oct 16, 2020, 09:42 AM

Avalanche of Early Votes Transforms 2020 Election

https://politicalwire.com/2020/10/16/avalanche-of-early-votes-transforms-2020-election/

Avalanche of Early Votes Transforms 2020 Election
October 16, 2020 at 9:08 am EDT By Taegan Goddard


More than 17 million Americans have already cast ballots in the 2020 election, a record-shattering avalanche of early votes driven both by Democratic enthusiasm and a pandemic that has transformed the way the nation votes,” the AP reports.

“The total represents 12% of all the votes cast in the 2016 presidential election, even as eight states are not yet reporting their totals and voters still have more than two weeks to cast ballots. Americans’ rush to vote is leading election experts to predict that a record 150 million votes may be cast and turnout rates could be higher than in any presidential election since 1908.

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Arrow 17 replies Author Time Post
Reply Avalanche of Early Votes Transforms 2020 Election (Original post)
babylonsister Oct 16 OP
lindysalsagal Oct 16 #1
lagomorph777 Oct 16 #2
Maeve Oct 16 #3
Johnny2X2X Oct 16 #4
Baitball Blogger Oct 16 #6
Johnny2X2X Oct 16 #7
WSHazel Oct 16 #8
Tommymac Oct 17 #11
WSHazel Oct 17 #12
Tommymac Oct 17 #14
SWBTATTReg Oct 17 #15
Skraxx Oct 16 #5
Rice4VP Oct 16 #9
Dopers_Greed Oct 17 #10
Renew Deal Oct 17 #13
nattyice Oct 17 #16
Aussie105 Oct 18 #17

Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 09:45 AM

1. Well, let's effing hope so!!!!!

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 09:48 AM

2. Avalanche, or Blue Tsunami?

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 09:49 AM

3. So many of us want this damned election over (and this damned year over)

Yes, we are rushing it any way we can, so we can finally say "you're fired!" to the orange shitgibbon

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 09:52 AM

4. 21.4 Million as of this morning

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

These are breaking 78-21 for Biden according to some polling, that means it's probably 16.7 to 4.7 right now, Biden has a 12 million vote lead.

None of the models had a good way to incorporate this into them. Biden could have a 40 million vote lead before lection day.

What this does is take risk out. A James Comey like October surprise 10 days out will be too late to change anything.

21.4 million votes are etched in stone now, nothing that happens from here on out will change them.

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Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #4)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 10:04 AM

6. Does anyone know what the break point is?

What is the expected Republican impact on election day?

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Response to Baitball Blogger (Reply #6)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 10:07 AM

7. Well, I think 65 million votes wins it

If Biden has 50 or 60 million before election day he's going to cruise to a landslide.

And another factor too is that with so many Dems voting early, the polls in Dem areas on election day will have much shorter lines than normal. You'll see increased turnout in Dem areas because of it. Perhaps a million people in 2016 saw lines and decided not to vote because they figured Hillary had it won. This time that will be much much less.

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Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #7)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 10:22 AM

8. Lines will definitely be shorter on election day

I expect fewer problems in Democratic strongholds like Milwaukee, Philadelphia and Miami that always have election day voting issues.

I could see this as very demotivating to Trump supporters as more and more stories of "Biden has a huge lead already" continue to run. I don't think we will have a record turnout. I think Republican turnout will be low because a lot of them will not bother if they think the election is already decided.

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Response to WSHazel (Reply #8)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 10:08 AM

11. All indications are the Rethugs are VERY Motivated.

Their new registrations are up and surpassing Democrats - only the big registration drive in 2018 by the Dems is keeping us ahead there. Most new Dems have already registered befor 2020.

The Rethug ground game is in full swing - Fundamentalist Churches are leading the way in getting their congregations mobilized.

No - there is enthusiasm on BOTH Sides.

Dems need to keep the pedal to the floor, keep GOTV, and vote like their lives depend on it. Because they do.

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Response to Tommymac (Reply #11)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 12:35 PM

12. If there are more "Democrats are going to lose" stories

then Democrats will lose. Most people are front runners. They want to be on the winning side, and if it looks like their side is going to lose, alot of them just give up.

All these "we are going to lose" comments in the press by senior Democrats are have the opposite of their intended effect.

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Response to WSHazel (Reply #12)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 12:44 PM

14. I don't recall any 'we are going to lose' remarks by leading Democratic Candidates.

Please link.

All I see are posts saying we have to keep the pressure on the lying dog Trumpists. We have to keep GOTV.

WE MUST VOTE!

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Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #4)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 02:00 PM

15. Almost 26 million now...probably more now...

Already voted (at a minimum), 25,827,135, 18.6% of the number of total voters in the 2016 election
Some obvious gaps (Oregon, Washington, for examle - Prof McDonald will probably catch up), but based on reporting states 25,827,135, or about 18.6% of the number of total voters in the 2016 election, have voted. State-by-state stuff on the second tab (mouse over state for percentages voted) is really interesting.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html?fbclid=IwAR3AQBnyQLg6V-pFS4T_ewqW2S-34Wd7wvrG4UjCyGfPNibD_84bII-AiYI

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 09:53 AM

5. SUCK ON THAT TRUMP!

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Fri Oct 16, 2020, 10:48 AM

9. 330,000 voted on the first day in NC

yesterday. Over 1M have already voted in Georgia and Texas and Virginia, etc

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 10:07 AM

10. High turnout is good for America

Though it seems we have "record-breaking turnout" every time, even when Dems get clobbered.

It's not over until it's over. GO VOTE.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 12:43 PM

13. Taft beat Bryan 51-43 out of 14 million votes.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 06:56 PM

16. This all translates to bad news for the GOP.

Have to up the voter suppression

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Sun Oct 18, 2020, 07:29 PM

17. Americans catching on!

Catching on that politics is important, and who is in the WH can actually affect their futures?

Four years too slow in realizing that, but great to see.

Thanks Trump, for showing everyone why voting is important.

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