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Tue Oct 20, 2020, 06:26 AM

 

Does anyone have a conditional probability model for the national election?

It is possible to build a simple Bayesian network that will update posterior probabilities given partial information ..like say Biden wins PA and Asshole wins IA. Even a Nšive Bayes model will be insightful and help us absorb information as it comes in.. or play around with scenarios.

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Reply Does anyone have a conditional probability model for the national election? (Original post)
Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 OP
soothsayer Oct 2020 #1
Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 #2
beachbumbob Oct 2020 #3


Response to soothsayer (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 06:41 AM

2. That helps some...really shows PA is for Democrats what FL is for Republicans

 

PA is a must win for us.

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Response to Le Roi de Pot (Original post)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 07:26 AM

3. cook political report website has one

 

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