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Proud liberal 80

(4,167 posts) Fri Oct 23, 2020, 02:46 PM Oct 2020

Biden's IBD TIPP lead is growing

https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-race-independents-narrow-ibd-tipp-presidential-poll/

Over the last two days it had increased by two, but they are still using a headline from a couple days ago. But if you actually read this piece of the article you realize the lead is growing again

Biden's lead peaked at 8.6 points in IBD/TIPP's Oct. 13 presidential poll. The race's tightest point came on Tuesday, Oct. 20, when Biden led by 2.3 points.

It is now 50-45 Biden, but on Tuesday it was 48-46 on Tuesday...But they are trying to sell the “tightening” narrative.

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Biden's IBD TIPP lead is growing (Original Post) Proud liberal 80 Oct 2020 OP

They've always had the race closer than other polls... regnaD kciN Oct 2020 #1

Heard Silver talking about undecideds, historically undecideds break heavily for the challenger Thekaspervote Oct 2020 #3

Investors lean puke so this is good. pwb Oct 2020 #2

Outliers gonna lie...watch the average of all polls. Nt Fiendish Thingy Oct 2020 #4

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

1. They've always had the race closer than other polls...

Reply to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 02:51 PM

Oct 2020

...but that 2.3 seemed an outlier even for their methodology, particularly when we weren’t seeing similar drastic movement in other polls.

Still, I expect the race to tighten somewhat, because I think most of the (relatively few) “undecideds” out there will turn out to be the proverbial shy Trump voters. Which is why even those analysts showing Biden up by close to double digits are predicting the final margin will be 7-8.