General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2012 map could be deja vu for Obama
Some political scientists and Democratic strategists believe its now possible that President Barack Obama could replicate his break-out Electoral College map from 2008, with the exception of Indiana, even if the popular vote is closer than four years ago.
Based on a recent spate of public polls, Mitt Romney is currently trailing by as much as 10 points in Ohio (18 electoral votes), 9 points in Florida (29) and 8 points in Virginia (13). A loss of any of those three states but especially Florida would be a big blow and make the GOP nominees path to 270 electoral votes much narrower.
Democratic strategist Tad Devine thinks Obama could win an Electoral College blowout if Romney doesnt turn his campaign around in the first debate this Wednesday in Denver.
Hes in a position to get close to 350 electoral votes, without a doubt, said Devine, who played key roles for Al Gore in 2000 and John Kerry in 2004. The president and his campaign successfully identified states where they could beat Romney, set out to define Romney in those places and did so well through the course of the spring and summer.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81803.html
Theres a plausible scenario where the incumbent gets a healthy electoral vote majority. AP Photo
KharmaTrain
(31,706 posts)Firstly...my disclaimer that this election is far from "in the bag" and much hard work remains. While things look and feel good that shouldn't mean letting up. If anything it's time to "double down" on making this election a total repudiation of the rushpublican party.
That said...
There's already games being played by the great unhinged to try to deny that President Obama beat their sorry butts again. They're certain the polls are "skewed" and will surely claim voter fraud (even though it's their corrupt party that sanctions fraud and disenfranchising millions of voters) and this is sure to fester around hate and religious radio. Many wonder where the birfer and other crazy memes come from? Just turn on an AM radio...new ones are invented every day. There's no way these people will ever consider President Obama's elections legit and will do all they can to discredit him.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)with the exception of Indiana as the article states