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Fri Oct 30, 2020, 07:01 PM

Early voting high in rural and republican areas

People think this means more trump voters are voting in these areas, but I think it means that Democrats who normally donít vote because they feel as if their votes wonít matter in a heavily red area are voting....and itís all about margins...so instead of Trump winning these ares 70-30, he will only win them 60-40

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Reply Early voting high in rural and republican areas (Original post)
Proud liberal 80 Oct 2020 OP
Mike Nelson Oct 2020 #1
Iliyah Oct 2020 #2
rockfordfile Oct 2020 #3
Proud liberal 80 Oct 2020 #4
Amishman Oct 2020 #5
WyattKansas Oct 2020 #6
Cicada Oct 2020 #7
Kaleva Oct 2020 #8
pstokely Oct 2020 #9
Roisin Ni Fiachra Oct 2020 #10
yardwork Oct 2020 #11
Roisin Ni Fiachra Oct 2020 #13
yardwork Oct 2020 #14
Ace Rothstein Oct 2020 #17
Kaleva Oct 2020 #18
yardwork Oct 2020 #21
Kaleva Nov 2020 #22
DeminPennswoods Oct 2020 #12
yardwork Oct 2020 #15
milestogo Oct 2020 #16
Kaleva Oct 2020 #19
SKKY Oct 2020 #20

Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Fri Oct 30, 2020, 07:12 PM

1. Could...

... also be Republicans like Steve Schmidt, Nicolle Wallace, John Kasich, and Cindy McCain...


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Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Fri Oct 30, 2020, 07:13 PM

2. POC live in rural areas as well . ...

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Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Fri Oct 30, 2020, 07:14 PM

3. Yeah the right-wingers are voting

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Response to rockfordfile (Reply #3)

Fri Oct 30, 2020, 07:18 PM

4. But I think they have always voted

These new voters are in these areas arenít necessarily voting Republican...just my theory

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Response to rockfordfile (Reply #3)

Fri Oct 30, 2020, 08:21 PM

5. Yup, their turnout is way high too. Independents breaking our way is the winner

I expect Trump to get 5 to 7 million more votes than 2016 - and still lose 'bigly'

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Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Fri Oct 30, 2020, 08:55 PM

6. 2016 was under performed by the Democratic base and Republicans energized their base with...

A long time hated opponent and potential picks due for Judges. In the last four years, tRUMP has chased away votes for him and made himself unpopular with a lot of Republicans. Meanwhile the Democratic base is fired up and ready to FIRE tRUMP everywhere across the country and they only get more determined to vote as obstacles are thrown up in front of them. Independents now know this country cannot survive another 4 years of tRUMP and Republicans.

tRUMP and Republicans have cannibalized their entire voting potential, just to feed their rabid base, while losing voters in every area. The Democratic Party has it's base supercharged, picked up a majority of Independents, and even picked up many Republican voters. tRUMP squeaked out victories in key States the last election, but is well behind in those same States now and is in trouble with traditionally Red States. If somehow up is down again and black is white, then where in the Hell did any allegedly new tRUMP and Republican voters come from to make that happen?.. It could only mean that tRUMP and Republicans defrauded voters with or without Russian help.

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Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Fri Oct 30, 2020, 08:57 PM

7. Some places record the party of those who voted

That can provide the answer to whether the high early voting is for Trump or Biden

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Response to Cicada (Reply #7)

Fri Oct 30, 2020, 09:00 PM

8. But it can't tell you if that Repub voted for Trump or Biden or other.

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Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 05:58 AM

9. what hidden or shy Biden voters?

haven't heard anything about those while we hear about hidden or shy tRump voters?

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Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 08:44 AM

10. Only 19.3% of the US population resides in rural areas.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rural_areas_in_the_United_States

And there's this:

Texas has added 1.8 million registered voters. Where they are shows how the state has become more competitive.

Most of the new voters registered in the state's fast-growing urban counties or suburbs.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/10/30/texas-toss-up-voters/

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Response to Roisin Ni Fiachra (Reply #10)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 08:53 AM

11. Unfortunately, those rural voters are way over represented in our election system.

Two senators from every state means that the U.S. Senate greatly over represents rural voters.

California has almost 40 million people. Montana has one million. They both have two senators voting on the laws that affect us all.

Trump would have been removed from office last February if our system was more democratic.

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Response to yardwork (Reply #11)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 09:58 AM

13. True. Of course.

What we need to do is to override the Republican rural vote, wherever we can, in order to win the Senate.

We know we're never going to win Wyoming, Idaho, or most Bible Belt states.

But we can win Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.

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Response to Roisin Ni Fiachra (Reply #13)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:26 AM

14. If Democrats take control of Congress and the White House, we MUST make changes.

Nothing less than drastic change will save our democracy.

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Response to Roisin Ni Fiachra (Reply #13)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:30 AM

17. Georgia will be a blue state within a decade and NC probably as well.

Maybe SC some time after that.

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Response to yardwork (Reply #11)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:36 AM

18. California has many times more electors then any rural state.

California has 55 electors. About 1/5th of what is needed to win the election.

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Response to Kaleva (Reply #18)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 03:30 PM

21. I realize that. But in terms of representation in the Senate, the people in CA are underrepresented.

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Response to yardwork (Reply #21)

Sun Nov 1, 2020, 03:14 PM

22. that would be a problem with representation and not of the elections itself

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Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 09:25 AM

12. The republican/conservative areas always vote

in big numbers. If my home county is any indication, in 2016, the R areas voted about 10-15% points higher than D areas. In my R precinct, turnout was nearly 80% of all registered voters.

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Response to DeminPennswoods (Reply #12)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:27 AM

15. Churches encourage their congregations to vote, and it's always Republican.

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Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:30 AM

16. It takes a huge number of rural Republicans to add up to one big Democratic city...

If we turn out there really are more of us.

That said, Repukes are very good at GOTV.

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Response to milestogo (Reply #16)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:42 AM

19. Yep.

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Response to Proud liberal 80 (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 10:46 AM

20. And younger voters. If the Biden/Harris ticket wins, I have a sense the...

...final chapter of this campaign will be one of how the young vote turned out in huge number not for Biden necessarily, but against Trump and Trumpism in general. Just a hunch.

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