IN-05: Political analysis group switches Indiana 5th Congressional District to 'tilt Democrat'
In a warning sign for Republicans heading into election week, Indiana's 5th Congressional District election switched from being rated a 'toss-up' to 'tilt Democrat' by nonpartisan political analysis group Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales.
Gonzales posted the same ratings change on Roll Call.
The newest ratings change, along with Democrat Christina Hale's fundraising, paints a rosy picture for Hale as she faces off against Republican Victoria Spartz to replace retiring Republican Susan Brooks, someone who branded herself as a moderate Republican. Libertarian Ken Tucker is also running.
On Oct. 1, Inside Elections had switched the rating for the district from "lean Republican" to a "toss up," following Sabato's Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report. FiveThirtyEight also has labeled the district a "toss-up," giving Hale a slight edge over Spartz.
Historically, the district — which stretches from the northern parts of Marion County up to the city of Marion and includes all of Hamilton County — has reliably elected Republicans. In 2018, Republican Rep. Susan Brooks won by nearly 14 percentage points and in 2016, President Donald Trump won the district by nearly 12 percentage points.
https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2020/10/29/roll-call-switches-indiana-5th-congressional-district-tilt-democrat/6068367002/
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