Latest Univ. of Tyler Texas poll : Biden +3

[triron]

https://www.uttyler.edu/politicalscience/files/oct2020-lv-codebook-dmn-uttyler-poll.pdf

[David__77]

1. Is there skepticism of any polls showing Biden leading in Texas?

I can understand not wanting to alter strategy based on a plan requiring winning Texas, or "not being let down." Still, it seems to me that people would be SHOCKED if Biden won Texas, which seems interesting to me given that a number of polls have shown him leading.

[triron]

10. I confess I would be (pleasantly) surprised if Biden wins Texas.

[David__77]

11. I think the media would go crazy.

Like it is a "tectonic" event that will fundamentally transform the country. It's interesting that the difference of 1% could be difference between that story and a very different one.

[kansasobama]

2. 3% seems to be a stretch

If Biden wins, it will be 1% or less. GOP have started coming out of wood works to vote.

[triron]

3. What is your source?

[kansasobama]

6. I will try to find

I think it was suburbs outside Houston. Also El Paso has to improve as per Beto.

[drray23]

5. 9 millions votes in. they expect at most 3 on election day.

so Trump will have to win big on election day to offset early votes.

[kansasobama]

4. what is the 538 rating for this pollster

[triron]

7. B/C with slight R bias.

[Volaris]

8. And does 538 happen to have an overall or aggregate MoE for Texas?

[triron]

9. knr