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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDemocrats led early voting after Trump's attacks on mail-in ballots. Now Trump needs to dominate
Election DayWASHINGTON As Democrats dominate mail-in early voting, President Donald Trump will have to rely on strong in-person Election Day turnout among Republicans to defeat Democratic challenger Joe Biden.
With two days remaining until the elections, some pollsters are still urging caution about certainty of a Democratic win despite Bidens lead over President Trump. The presidents shock victory in 2016 has contributed to unease about current survey results.
This election is probably the most competitive 10-point race Ive seen, Republican pollster Bill McInturff told the Wall Street Journal.
McInturff and Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt conducted the final election poll for the Journal and NBC News, in which respondents broke for Biden 52-42. A Fox News survey released on Saturday showed a similar result, with Biden leading 52-44.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/final-polls-before-election-show-biden-with-national-lead-but-battleground-states-tightening/ar-BB1aAUdV?li=BBnbfcQ&ocid=DELLDHP
C_U_L8R
(44,996 posts)And has lost quite a few along the way with his stupid antics. A Trump comeback is pure drug-addled fantasy.
Laelth
(32,017 posts)Its hardly competitive at all, but YOU WANT it to be competitive. It just isnt.
-Laelth
kurtcagle
(1,602 posts)Well, for Trump anyway. I can't say that I'm not nervous about Tuesday, but when you're looking at a ten-point difference in the polls and enough early voting to give a sense of the patterns about how people are actually voting, the only real way I see Trump winning is massive cheating on the part of the GOP, something that people are watching very closely. The GOP has in general managed to use dirty tricks when the votes have been close, but the level of skepticism at this stage is high and Biden's lead, even in swing states, has remained enough outside of the margin of error that sudden drops are likely to be challenged.
One other point - in the 2000 race, the Supreme Court did not directly pick the winner - it only stopped the counting in a state that was in a tipping point. Ordinarily, in the case of a contested election, the vote should have gone to the House, but Gore conceded too early. In 2020, the worst case scenario is that the election WILL go to the House, which will likely be even more Democratic than it is now. Biden now doubt has strategized this, and won't concede until it does, especially if the vote seems highly irregular.