Trump will Not claim Victory Tuesday

[judeling]

The narrative from the Trump campaign is much more likely to be "they counted the Democrats first".

First the big Red States are just closer then the big Blue States. With Rural counties likely to report later and the Trump absentee vote tracking later then the Biden vote, there will be more outstanding Trump votes when the first votes are announced in Red States. The longer North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida remain in play the harder it will be for Trump. Because of the way they count Trump is likely to be seen as catching up in all three as the early voting is tinged Blue. The longer those remain in play the more early vote elsewhere will be counted. This brings us to the next point.

The Red Mirage requires Trump to have a huge day of turnout and that to swamp any possible open counts. The biggest problem with that is in those late counting states the the State Government is Democratically controlled and/or the biggest pool of voters are and they will be moving heaven and earth to minimize both the difference and the narrative.You can bet for example that Harris county Texas will push the button as the polls close and dump the early vote into the narrative, as will Philly and Detroit will with as far as they have gotten.

Lastly FOX wont play along. Their long term business model depends on them remaining within shouting distance of reality. The news division is in charge of the calls and while they may talk about Trumps paths and hold out hope they wont make any premature calls. It will be at least a lot of wait and see.

[TwilightZone]

1. He's already denying he ever said it.

Trial balloon fail.

[Initech]

2. Whatever. He's a loser and the whole world knows it.

The MAGA movement and the Dittohead movement will both die the horrible deaths they deserve and there will be lots of infighting in the GOP as to who still supports these movements and who will distance themselves from it. I for one am looking forward to watching that cage match.

[Turbineguy]

5. The Tea party

and the whole Russian intel operation is about to collapse.

I'm thinking Putin is well on his way to figuring out how to make a good deal with the owners of the New Reality.

[Johnny2X2X]

3. I agree

He’s not going to be ahead in enough states to claim victory at any time.

[yellowcanine]

4. This was a Bannon strategy so I guess this means that Jarvanka prevailed.

The little nepotists are good for something I guess.

[Grasswire2]

6. It was FOX NEWS Decision Desk that called 2000 prematurely for Bush*

W's first cousin John Ellis manned that desk that night.

It was the strategy to call prematurely for Bush, and a whole PR blitz was already organized and waiting to push Gore to concede.

Remember the freepers outside the VP mansion, beating on pots and hollering "Get out of Cheney's house!!" at the Gore family?

Remember how Gore was labeled "Sore Loserman" and taunted with it?

[dhill926]

7. I remember this shit like it was yesterday....

[Grasswire2]

8. Me too, but most people never even knew that factoid about the Bush cousin.

I still want to know why Karl Rove hates America.