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RandySF

(57,619 posts)
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:11 AM Nov 2020

TX-10: McCaul moves from 'Lean R' to 'Tossup'

Earlier this fall, it looked like McCaul was in the clear: national Democrats' favored candidate, physician Pritesh Gandhi, lost the runoff to progressive Austin attorney Mike Siegel, who ran a lackluster race two years ago and lost to McCaul by four points. And, McCaul has been airing blistering ads linking Siegel to the Austin City Council's votes to cut the police budget.

But McCaul might have a top-of-the-ticket problem. Three-quarters of the 10th CD's vote is cast in Travis and Harris counties (the Austin and Houston suburbs), which are on pace for record-shattering turnout. Beto O'Rourke carried the 10th CD by a fraction of a point in 2018, and Biden may be on pace to win it by considerably more - which could help even a weak Democrat like Siegel pull off an upset.



https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/final-house-ratings-democrats-poised-expand-majority-10-15-seats

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TX-10: McCaul moves from 'Lean R' to 'Tossup' (Original Post) RandySF Nov 2020 OP
That's my district. TwilightZone Nov 2020 #1
Wow. ananda Nov 2020 #2

TwilightZone

(25,342 posts)
1. That's my district.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:18 AM
Nov 2020

McCaul really should be vulnerable, but as the article notes, Siegel ran a mediocre campaign in 2018 and he seems to be running a similar one in 2020. I think a more seasoned candidate with some political experience and better backing could take out McCaul. If Siegel manages to win anyway, it's a sign of huge problems for the GOP here.

Note: I don't mean to denigrate Siegel. He's a good guy with solidly-progressive ideals. It's just tough here in central TX for a relatively-inexperienced candidate to go up against entrenched politicians like McCaul and Carter.

ananda

(28,782 posts)
2. Wow.
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:20 AM
Nov 2020

That's a big deal. McCaul will still win it,
but at least Siegel is competitive.

That's my district.

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