NC Dems lead In Person voting. Crushing Mail.

[Fahrenthold451]

Something is going on in NC for reals. Unlike other battleground states, Dems have the lead for IN PERSON early voters. Granted the lead is .8% but Dems have a huge 25% lead in mail ballots.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NC.html

Overall D lead of 255,000 votes +-
Bodes very well for Biden.

Curiously, NC is one of the few states where Rs have an advantage in the rate of return for their mail in ballots. (That's the percentage if those who turn in the ballot, not the actual numbers if ballots) Rs have a 2.7% advantage. IA is the other R Mail advantage state for rate of return.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NC.html

In the other battlegrounds Dems requested far more ballots but they also are turning them in at a higher rate.

Fl 1.5 Dem advantage
AZ 5 D advantage
PA 11.4 advantage

Will be watching that PA number closely. Nate Silver said that the Rs could be hurt more by stopping the Mail ballots as they are sitting on their ballots longer. This is presumably because they don't even know that slow mail delivery is an issue. Fox ain't talking about it.

[exboyfil]

1. It would nice in Pennsylvania if they did screw themselves

By the Democratic voters getting ballots in significantly earlier because they were warned.

[CousinIT]

2. Most Rs vote on election day. Those leads will disappear tomorrow. n/t

[lagomorph777]

4. That's an assumption. Many states (including mine and PA) never allowed absentee/mail-in before.

At least, not in any realistic way.

We are totally guessing how crazy people will behave in a novel election environment.

[beachbumbob]

6. party affiliation numbers don;t reflect actual voting as we KNOW in 2020

a big crossover of republicans to Biden and not so much with democrats to trump. THE SECRET WEAPON here is the unaffliated vote count as most under 30 voters register this way and we KNOW they break heavy to democrats. This demographic can blow the tidal wave higher in states like NC, Georgia, and TEXAS and can have an impact in IOWA as well

[Vivienne235729]

3. Wow. Those are very interesting numbers! Thanks for sharing.

[barbtries]

5. another reason i think this is good news:

virtually all of the Dems are voting for Biden, but a sizable number of Rs are too.

GO BLUE NC!!!!!!

[Thekaspervote]

7. I really think NC is going blue. The numbers there are entirely different than GA, FL, TX

Just MHO!