Breakdown of voters who haven't yet voted in FL on election day

[octoberlib]

Link to tweet

?s=20

[Goodheart]

1. Maybe it's too early for me, but I don't see how his stats support what he's trying to say.

[octoberlib]

3. Here's a follow up tweet. I think it's too early yet to be worrying.

Link to tweet

?s=20

[Baitball Blogger]

8. Judging from past elections, Republicans tend to vote early in the morning

on election day to make it to work on time. Which is what we all did at one time.

[octoberlib]

20. I'm sure you're right. He just tweeted that it's already starting to look better for Dems

Link to tweet

?s=20

[Teach29]

10. I would imagine

that the vast majority of the NPA/Other voters will go Biden. I think we are OK.

[Sunsky]

19. Wasserman will be on my trash list. The polls have just opened

The polls close at 7 pm. This early freakout is not necessary. I haven't even gotten out of bed and I'm sure many others are just beginning their day as well. Give us the stat at mid-day, that will be more helpful. Palm Beach will not have more Republicans voting than Democrats.

[Baitball Blogger]

4. It's not just you.

[beachbumbob]

2. With 8.9 million votes done and a huge unknown based on non-affilliate, the GOP would need

EVERY single GOP voter to vote, which isn't happening while less than half of the democratic and nonaffilliate NOT to vote, which is not going to happen.

By 8pm will KNOW the trajectory out of florida

[octoberlib]

5. Agree.

[still_one]

6. It has only been an hour and a half since the polls opened. Also what are the specific numbers

Democrats plus No party affiliation, verses republicans

[octoberlib]

12. I think Dave Wasserman's freaking out, lol. I'm actually encouraged by that breakdown.

It's too early yet to be worrying.

[Roland99]

7. AND with an EVEN split from NPA, Dems held a seeming 108k lead as of yesterday morning!

Link to tweet

[octoberlib]

14. Great news!

[Johnny2X2X]

9. I think Trump miscalculated day of voting

Saw similar stats in WI. There isn't going to be some Red Wave on day of voting in most of these swing states, Reps voted early too.

This is good news and I still think it's really hard to quantify what smaller lines in the cities because of early voting will mean, but it's definitely a big advantage to Dems. Democrats lose perhaps millions of votes due to long lines in the cities every election.

[CurtEastPoint]

11. What is 'NPA?' Undecided?

[octoberlib]

13. Non-affiliated voters. Independents

[CurtEastPoint]

15. Oh. But what does NPA stand for? No something something...

[Teach29]

17. No Party Affiliation

[Grown2Hate]

18. No Party Affiliation, I believe.

[The Magistrate]

16. 'No Party Affiliation', Sir

Some of this analysis seems a bit simplistic. It assumes every registered Democrat or Republican votes for their party's ticket. It's not always a safe assumption.

[sunnybrook]

21. That's what I've been saying

We not only get more than half of NPA but we might get 15% of Republicans

[The Magistrate]

22. And We Will Lose Some Democrats, Too, Sir

Especially in southern and Appalachian states, there are appreciable numbers of people registered as Democrats who have not voted for a Democrat on the Party's national ticket in a dog's age.

[radius777]

23. IIRC, in the swing states like FL we are likely to

win twice as many Repubs (the anti-Trump Repubs voting for Biden) as they do Dems.