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*Rumor* (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2020 OP
Or 47 Other States nt sfstaxprep Nov 2020 #1
Rumor from where? Happy Hoosier Nov 2020 #2
Matt Isbell is a FL watcher dawg day Nov 2020 #17
Come on Florida! Happy Hoosier Nov 2020 #21
Upvote Dem2 Nov 2020 #3
Pub numbers look good in FL... as long as you ignore there are likely 400k votes yet in Miami Amishman Nov 2020 #4
Jon Ralston, the everything NV politics feels good about the firewall out of Clark Co EV Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #26
That's good, i really really don't want Trump to flip any states Amishman Nov 2020 #27
I heard Texas also. yellowcanine Nov 2020 #5
The SS Trumptanic sinks tonite. roamer65 Nov 2020 #6
Saw a title on another site . .... Iliyah Nov 2020 #7
In MO, the crowds were pretty robust compared to what I've seen before in the past, at least SWBTATTReg Nov 2020 #8
Well it's not rumor in FL and PA qazplm135 Nov 2020 #9
nope...not quite Roland99 Nov 2020 #16
not quite what? qazplm135 Nov 2020 #20
EDIT - I think we need about a 7-8pt split from NPA Roland99 Nov 2020 #28
no we don't qazplm135 Nov 2020 #29
I just did a new calc...total speculation. Assuming 2% crossover from R-D and .5% from D-R Roland99 Nov 2020 #30
On a redneck site I'm on they're spreading rumors that Republican names aren't on voting lists dem4decades Nov 2020 #10
I just drove by two red area polling locations tnlurker Nov 2020 #11
AZ sounds like it's also problematic for them nt sweetloukillbot Nov 2020 #12
That's a nice rumor. triron Nov 2020 #13
We're fine as long as bots can't vote Ponietz Nov 2020 #14
Rumor from who...people are on edge Rice4VP Nov 2020 #15
3rd report of that i have seen on DU..different posts but same observation! YAY samnsara Nov 2020 #18
earlier today Ed Rendell was on MSNBC and he seemed pretty confident in Biden's numbers fishwax Nov 2020 #19
It's more than just a rumor in FL. Dems are out pacing the pukes today Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #22
Mail in ballots have a lot of Puke votes too pwb Nov 2020 #23
More More! I've already taken the pup on TWO 3 1/2 mile walks today... hlthe2b Nov 2020 #24
That's good. Just got a worrisome anecdote from Philly democrattotheend Nov 2020 #25

Happy Hoosier

(7,219 posts)
2. Rumor from where?
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:32 PM
Nov 2020

I've heard that about PA. But if it's PA GA and FL, Cheeto Chump is toast, and I really want to believe that.

dawg day

(7,947 posts)
17. Matt Isbell is a FL watcher
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:45 PM
Nov 2020

And he's been saying all day that the ED GOP vote totals aren't as high as the GOP wants.
Matthew Isbell
@mcimaps
·
12m
That is not the number the gop was aiming for

--

I don't know what the calculation is, because the GOP totals seem higher than the DEM, but the "no party" is very large.

Amishman

(5,554 posts)
4. Pub numbers look good in FL... as long as you ignore there are likely 400k votes yet in Miami
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:32 PM
Nov 2020

Feeling good.

Curious about Nevada though

Thekaspervote

(32,707 posts)
26. Jon Ralston, the everything NV politics feels good about the firewall out of Clark Co EV
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:52 PM
Nov 2020

This was a couple of days ago. He was relaxed and confident for the dems

Amishman

(5,554 posts)
27. That's good, i really really don't want Trump to flip any states
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:54 PM
Nov 2020

and based on polls NV is his only chance.

SWBTATTReg

(22,072 posts)
8. In MO, the crowds were pretty robust compared to what I've seen before in the past, at least
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:35 PM
Nov 2020

2-3 times more (or even more) than what I normally see. This is in STL City. I saw even police officers sitting down and voting too, a first for me (but of course they have to vote too).

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)
9. Well it's not rumor in FL and PA
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:36 PM
Nov 2020

it's pretty clear from the numbers so far that they aren't in PA and they aren't ahead by enough in FL.

But there's time left, I'm just playing video games and only checking in every 45 minutes or so until about 6pm central time.

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)
20. not quite what?
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:47 PM
Nov 2020

They are ahead, but not by nearly enough to offset likely Dem gains in independents to this point.

They most assuredly need more than they have right now.

Can they get it? Sure. Could Independents be more pro Trump than the polling says? Also sure.

But as of this moment, they aren't where they'd like to be or even need to be.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
28. EDIT - I think we need about a 7-8pt split from NPA
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:54 PM
Nov 2020

Republican - 4,087,834 5196693 (NPA * .45)
Democratic -3,914,634 5220623 (NPA * .53)
NPA/Other 2,464,130

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)
29. no we don't
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 05:04 PM
Nov 2020

you assume all Rs vote for Trump, they probably don't.

There's likely more crossover our way than theirs.

The reality is, the Republicans would like larger margins than they have right now, and our side just needs to keep it more or less where it is, maybe slightly closer.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
30. I just did a new calc...total speculation. Assuming 2% crossover from R-D and .5% from D-R
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 05:14 PM
Nov 2020

Republican 4025650 5208433 2% crossover
Democratic 3976818 5258165 .5% crossover
NPA/Other 2464130


Gives a 50k vote margin for D (with a 52/48 split from NDA)


I'm just playing w/numbers at this point

dem4decades

(11,269 posts)
10. On a redneck site I'm on they're spreading rumors that Republican names aren't on voting lists
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:36 PM
Nov 2020

and Republicans aren't being let in to the vote counting areas in Philly. No evidence, I'd guess they're reading shit on facebook.

It's a sports site but lots of Trumpers.

tnlurker

(1,020 posts)
11. I just drove by two red area polling locations
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:37 PM
Nov 2020

Both were very slow...maybe 8-12 cars in the parking lot with not lines outside of the buildings.

fishwax

(29,148 posts)
19. earlier today Ed Rendell was on MSNBC and he seemed pretty confident in Biden's numbers
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:46 PM
Nov 2020

and if anybody would know warning signs to watch for in Pennsylvania, he'd be the guy.

Got me feeling pretty good, I'll admit.

pwb

(11,246 posts)
23. Mail in ballots have a lot of Puke votes too
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:49 PM
Nov 2020

but please continue. They don't know what to do against this blue tsunami.

hlthe2b

(102,130 posts)
24. More More! I've already taken the pup on TWO 3 1/2 mile walks today...
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:50 PM
Nov 2020

I may well have to do a third at midnight in the dark. Anxiety combined with EXPECTATION. Hard to keep in check.

democrattotheend

(11,605 posts)
25. That's good. Just got a worrisome anecdote from Philly
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 04:50 PM
Nov 2020

A family member said her polling place was lightly attended at 8 am and there were Trump signs, plus an "ominous grandma in Trump gear" asking people questions about voting. Waiting for clarification on where in Philly and what the grandma was asking.

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