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Bradshaw3

(7,486 posts) Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:12 AM Nov 2020

9

NYT needle moves Georgia to tilt Biden

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2020&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

27 replies

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NYT needle moves Georgia to tilt Biden (Original Post) Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 OP

There's a lot of votes in Atlanta that couldn't be counted. PTWB Nov 2020 #1

nyt account required nt msongs Nov 2020 #2

I don't have one Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #4

WTF? I hope they provide an explanation DrToast Nov 2020 #3

They have. C_eh_N_eh_D_eh Nov 2020 #5

Wow...that's nuts. DrToast Nov 2020 #7

This message was self-deleted by its author Blue_true Nov 2020 #16

Something like 500,000 uncounted ballots in Fulton County alone. Blue_true Nov 2020 #17

I would expect so n/t Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #20

graphic tishaLA Nov 2020 #6

protect those ballots!! Roland99 Nov 2020 #8

teehee..the night gets stranger by the minute onetexan Nov 2020 #9

Reminds me of 2018. Everyone was freaking out then late at night EVERYTHING began to shift to the Quixote1818 Nov 2020 #11

exactly! As i've said earlier, we are close to a 50/50 nation (50 crazies/50 sensibles) onetexan Nov 2020 #14

53% trump, 80% votes in. n/t CousinIT Nov 2020 #10

IF we take GA after all, it's still possible for over 300 EVs!! Roland99 Nov 2020 #12

Good point Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #13

needle moved more! now at 67% (instead of 62%) Roland99 Nov 2020 #15

Woo hoo! Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #18

Is a reverse of 2016 possible? Tom Rivers Nov 2020 #19

Carville on MSNBC said he still felt pretty confident about Georgia fishwax Nov 2020 #21

I know but I feel a helluva better than an hour ago Bradshaw3 Nov 2020 #22

so my basic prediction earlier today was that Arizona and North Carolina would put Joe over the top fishwax Nov 2020 #23

Needle back to 56% as more ED votes have come in. GA at 84% in Roland99 Nov 2020 #24

needle at 62%. 85% of precincts in Roland99 Nov 2020 #25

118,000 vote difference. 91% of precincts. NYT Needle at 59% Roland99 Nov 2020 #26

when Dekalb is 100%, that should cut Biden's deficit by about 58,000 votes Roland99 Nov 2020 #27

PTWB

(4,131 posts)

1. There's a lot of votes in Atlanta that couldn't be counted.

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:13 AM

Nov 2020

It’s possible, but man it’s gonna be tight.

msongs

(67,360 posts)

2. nyt account required nt

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:13 AM

Nov 2020

Bradshaw3

(7,486 posts)

4. I don't have one

Reply to msongs (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:15 AM

Nov 2020

And I can access them.

DrToast

(6,414 posts)

3. WTF? I hope they provide an explanation

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:14 AM

Nov 2020

That would be nuts!

Link to tweet

?s=20

C_eh_N_eh_D_eh

(2,204 posts)

5. They have.

Reply to DrToast (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:16 AM

Nov 2020

A major poll counting station in Atlanta had a burst pipe. Didn't damage any ballots, but it put them way behind schedule.

DrToast

(6,414 posts)

7. Wow...that's nuts.

Reply to C_eh_N_eh_D_eh (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:17 AM

Nov 2020

But as I'm playing with the map, it probably doesn't mean much.

GA doesn't seem like it would be a tipping point.

Response to C_eh_N_eh_D_eh (Reply #5)

Blue_true This message was self-deleted by its author.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)

17. Something like 500,000 uncounted ballots in Fulton County alone.

Reply to C_eh_N_eh_D_eh (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:25 AM

Nov 2020

A second big blue county was late reporting another 500,000 votes and I believe won't do so until tomorrow.

I wonder whether the unreported votes also changes the Senate races?

Bradshaw3

(7,486 posts)

20. I would expect so n/t

Reply to Blue_true (Reply #17)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:29 AM

Nov 2020

tishaLA

(14,176 posts)

6. graphic

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:17 AM

Nov 2020

Link to tweet

Hello, Georgia!

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

8. protect those ballots!!

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:19 AM

Nov 2020

onetexan

(13,020 posts)

9. teehee..the night gets stranger by the minute

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:20 AM

Nov 2020

Hope is alive & well!!

Quixote1818

(28,918 posts)

11. Reminds me of 2018. Everyone was freaking out then late at night EVERYTHING began to shift to the

Reply to onetexan (Reply #9)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:21 AM

Nov 2020

Dems.

onetexan

(13,020 posts)

14. exactly! As i've said earlier, we are close to a 50/50 nation (50 crazies/50 sensibles)

Reply to Quixote1818 (Reply #11)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:24 AM

Nov 2020

General elections mostly will be tight down to the wire

CousinIT

(9,218 posts)

10. 53% trump, 80% votes in. n/t

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:21 AM

Nov 2020

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

12. IF we take GA after all, it's still possible for over 300 EVs!!

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:22 AM

Nov 2020

Take GA, PA, MI, WI, NV and NE-2!

Bradshaw3

(7,486 posts)

13. Good point

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #12)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:24 AM

Nov 2020

And I think they will win them all.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

15. needle moved more! now at 67% (instead of 62%)

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:25 AM

Nov 2020

Link to tweet

Bradshaw3

(7,486 posts)

18. Woo hoo!

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #15)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:26 AM

Nov 2020

Joe Biden - Mr. 300!

Tom Rivers

(459 posts)

19. Is a reverse of 2016 possible?

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:27 AM

Nov 2020

Needle looked strong for HRC early in a lot of places, then crashed and slowly slipped to Trump. The opposite appears to be happening. I'm still very hopeful, we've got a long way to go folks!

fishwax

(29,148 posts)

21. Carville on MSNBC said he still felt pretty confident about Georgia

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:30 AM

Nov 2020

I'm trying not to keep my hopes too high ... gotta keep an even keel here

Bradshaw3

(7,486 posts)

22. I know but I feel a helluva better than an hour ago

Reply to fishwax (Reply #21)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:32 AM

Nov 2020

Lotsa doom and gloom here. But I think Biden will win, maybe by tomorrow.

fishwax

(29,148 posts)

23. so my basic prediction earlier today was that Arizona and North Carolina would put Joe over the top

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Reply #22)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:33 AM

Nov 2020

looks like it may be Arizona and Georgia (or Arizona and NE-2) instead. And I'm okay with being wrong, if that's the case.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

24. Needle back to 56% as more ED votes have come in. GA at 84% in

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 02:02 AM

Nov 2020

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

25. needle at 62%. 85% of precincts in

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #24)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 02:22 AM

Nov 2020

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

26. 118,000 vote difference. 91% of precincts. NYT Needle at 59%

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #25)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 02:39 AM

Nov 2020

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

27. when Dekalb is 100%, that should cut Biden's deficit by about 58,000 votes

Reply to Bradshaw3 (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 02:52 AM

Nov 2020

Would leave 60k difference and there's still a 400k+ out in Fulton that's running 3:1 for Biden

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