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Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:37 AM

Can't figure why the NYT isn't calling Arizona

Biden is up over 90K/3.4% with 98% reporting

26 replies, 1345 views

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Arrow 26 replies Author Time Post
Reply Can't figure why the NYT isn't calling Arizona (Original post)
Hokie Nov 2020 OP
Miguelito Loveless Nov 2020 #1
BusyBeingBest Nov 2020 #2
TwilightZone Nov 2020 #6
Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #3
TwilightZone Nov 2020 #4
Mike 03 Nov 2020 #9
Rice4VP Nov 2020 #5
BusyBeingBest Nov 2020 #8
Mike 03 Nov 2020 #7
TwilightZone Nov 2020 #11
mcar Nov 2020 #10
Cha Nov 2020 #12
David__77 Nov 2020 #13
HiltonHeadDem Nov 2020 #14
Hokie Nov 2020 #15
MissB Nov 2020 #16
Hokie Nov 2020 #17
Happy Hoosier Nov 2020 #20
Tommymac Nov 2020 #22
StarryNite Nov 2020 #18
Amishman Nov 2020 #21
Hokie Nov 2020 #23
uponit7771 Nov 2020 #19
Autumn Nov 2020 #24
wackadoo wabbit Nov 2020 #25
LeftInTX Nov 2020 #26

Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:39 AM

1. Go to keep those people clicking on stories.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:39 AM

2. I've seen comments elsewhere that there was an error in reporting

precincts counted and that it's only 86% counted. I hope that's not true. Can't stand the suspense, plus Repubs are certainly trying to come up with numbers there, I'm sure.

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Response to BusyBeingBest (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:41 AM

6. Correct. There's a disclaimer about it on their map.

If you point at AZ, the disclaimer is listed in the fine print.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:40 AM

3. Agree

Thereís less than 50,000 ballots left to count. Itís over.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:40 AM

4. There's a disclaimer for AZ.

In the fine print for AZ on their map, it says that the estimate of the actual vote counted is 86%. It's reporting high due to an error with the reporting agency.

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Response to TwilightZone (Reply #4)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:43 AM

9. Oh, that's the story. Thank you.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:40 AM

5. AP called it around 3am..

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Response to Rice4VP (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:43 AM

8. That doesn't really matter, though, if an error was made.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:41 AM

7. I don't either. NYT is showing greater than 98% reporting.

For some reason the > symbol won't post on the reply title line.

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Response to Mike 03 (Reply #7)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:44 AM

11. There's a disclaimer. The actual estimate is 86%

If you point at AZ on their map, the disclaimer pops up.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:44 AM

10. AP called it

Good enough for me.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:46 AM

12. Long a deep-red state, Arizona flips to Biden for first Democratic win in 24 years

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:52 AM

13. Another site has a lower reported percentage with the same vote number information.

Politico for instance says 84%. The information/analysis that I'm seeing that I think appears reasonable leads me to believe that Biden will win AZ. I can understand news outlets being extra cautious in calling things.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:53 AM

14. There is still 250,000-400,000 votes per Arizona...long way still

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:55 AM

15. MSNBC has it at 86%

Let's hope these are mail in votes that break for Biden

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:55 AM

16. Not actually 98%

There was an error. Just hang in there. Itíll get there - just not this minute.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:09 PM

17. The NYT updated the figure to 86%

However, I looked at the county by county totals and Maricopa is at 86%. It is Biden +7 and Pima is at 89% with Biden +12 in the votes already counted. If anything Biden should increase his lead unless something really weird is going on with these uncounted votes. The two big Trump counties are Mohave and Graham are mid 90's % reporting. Oh and then there is Coconino County at 86% and it's Biden +22.

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Response to Hokie (Reply #17)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:18 PM

20. Yeah remaining vote looks fairly good for Biden. NT

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Response to Hokie (Reply #17)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:22 PM

22. Maricopa is the keystone to watch.

As Maricopa goes so goes AZ.

Or so they say.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:16 PM

18. Over 300,000 early ballots dropped off at the poles yesterday still not counted

according to Katie Hobbs, Arizona's secretary of state and chief election officer. I heard her say that in a radio interview about an hour ago. She said the next big return numbers will be this afternoon. There might be some smaller numbers coming in from less populated counties. The majority of those will most likely be for the orange asshole.

I live in Arizona. I want sooo badly to hold onto the Biden lead here. But unfortunately it's still not over. I don't know how much more of this shit I can take.

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Response to StarryNite (Reply #18)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:22 PM

21. I wouldn't sweat it. AZ did this in 2018 with the senate race and we had to come from behind there

Those outstanding ballots are likely to be bluer than a little kitten's eyes - drop off ballots from blue counties.

In 2018 for the senate we were actually behind by quite a bit by the counts the day after. Same reporting 95++% of the vote in too.

Then the news broke that there were a lot more ballots - mail ins and drop offs in... you guessed it, Maricopa and Pima. We ended up catching up and even winning comfortably.

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Response to Amishman (Reply #21)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:07 PM

23. I remember following that election closely

There was an inside guy on the state BoE as I recall who provided updated counts on Twitter every day. I specifically remember the term "late earlys".

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:18 PM

19. Ratings

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:11 PM

24. Because the Govenor has been calling Trump and saying that he thinks that things can change

from what he's seeing. So says the ABC news.

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Response to Autumn (Reply #24)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 08:50 PM

25. This is extremely disturbing

Ducey is not to be trusted. Let's hope that Katie Hobbs (the SoS) will be able to thwart any ratfuckery.

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Response to Hokie (Original post)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 08:55 PM

26. Mail ballots are very popular with the GOP there

I read only 2/3 of the votes have been counted.
3 million counted with 600,000 outstanding.

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