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538 thread has a very credible prediction that Biden will win the popular vote by 7 million. (Original Post) Rustynaerduwell Nov 2020 OP
K&R! SheltieLover Nov 2020 #1
Yeah, insane. I saw Biden vote total could top a record 80+ million. johnnyrocket Nov 2020 #2
Gosh just think how boring all this would be without the electoral college! jcgoldie Nov 2020 #3
I know right? luvallpeeps Nov 2020 #8
I saw that. 4.3% was the advantage Dem2 Nov 2020 #4
Here's the rundown from Nate Silver: Rustynaerduwell Nov 2020 #5
That's a nice chunk of change right there. luvallpeeps Nov 2020 #6
Voters should pick leaders, not land. radius777 Nov 2020 #7

johnnyrocket

(1,773 posts)
2. Yeah, insane. I saw Biden vote total could top a record 80+ million.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:35 PM
Nov 2020

It's disgusting that this race isn't already over.

Slavery has stained this country from inception. Hoping the EV is abolished in my lifetime.

Rustynaerduwell

(662 posts)
5. Here's the rundown from Nate Silver:
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:38 PM
Nov 2020

"What will the final margin in the popular vote be? Here’s an absurdly precise guess: 4.3 percentage points. More specifically, I guess that Biden will receive 81.8 million votes and Trump will get 74.9 million, with 2.9 million going to third-party candidates for a total of 159.6 million. How did I come up with that? I took, from The New York Times’ results pages, Edison Media’s estimates of how many votes were left in each state and then allocated them between the candidates, usually just going by the current vote in each state, with some exceptions (in Indiana, for instance, much of the remaining uncounted vote is in Indianapolis). The biggest places where Biden should gain are California, where I have him netting about an additional 1.4 million votes over Trump, and New York (about 415,000)".

luvallpeeps

(935 posts)
6. That's a nice chunk of change right there.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:41 PM
Nov 2020

Nothing to sneeze at. Respect to all the folks who stood in line because of their chances, or despite or them. God bless.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
7. Voters should pick leaders, not land.
Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:42 PM
Nov 2020

The EV means the election becomes only about the swing states, not about the people of the country as a whole.

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