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Alhena

(3,030 posts)
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:15 PM Nov 2020

Dem projection of 190k win in PA - link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EmES8t_WMAI60-B?format=jpg&name=large

Why are we worried? We don't need NV or AZ with PA's 20 electoral votes, and, even if we lost both NV and AZ yet won PA, that would give us a few EVs above 270 so as to not have to worry about a faithless elector.

Sure, the projection of 190k could be wrong, but surely not so wrong as to even let Trump come close. I mean, he lost by 20k in Wisconsin and eventually decided that was too big to justify a recount.
24 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Dem projection of 190k win in PA - link (Original Post) Alhena Nov 2020 OP
Why are we worried? It's 2020. That's why. marylandblue Nov 2020 #1
Random undated photo? Dem2 Nov 2020 #2
Here's something from a Politico reporter saying the same thing ... Alhena Nov 2020 #7
We've all seen that Dem2 Nov 2020 #12
The photo is new if you're not just trolling, jeez Alhena Nov 2020 #16
It's not attributed or dated! Dem2 Nov 2020 #17
I told you, Predictit's forum - call Sen. Street's office if you like and ask him if it's a forgery Alhena Nov 2020 #20
I believe nothing on Twitter. cwydro Nov 2020 #19
Nobody said it was false. But understand, there is a lot of noise on the internet. yardwork Nov 2020 #24
At this point after everything, I'm no longer focusing on projections. Tommy_Carcetti Nov 2020 #3
Same here. cwydro Nov 2020 #21
Same here. Too many unverified projections and assurances. yardwork Nov 2020 #23
Crossing my fingers that this is 100% correct Ferrets are Cool Nov 2020 #4
Thx for posting!! There has been so much spin here..arm chair statisticians projecting doom Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #5
Declaring victory is no more accurate at present. TwilightZone Nov 2020 #10
We've got Arizona, don't we? Aristus Nov 2020 #6
We do not have AZ LeftInTX Nov 2020 #22
73% is a pretty assertive number. TwilightZone Nov 2020 #8
He's been meeting those numbers Abnredleg Nov 2020 #18
I heard 150,000 malaise Nov 2020 #9
Even 50k is a big win. Alhena Nov 2020 #11
50k may be more accurate. mvd Nov 2020 #13
I sure hope so! Buckeye_Democrat Nov 2020 #14
I will settle for 1 vote difference if it ends Trump in Oval...(n/t) Moostache Nov 2020 #15

Alhena

(3,030 posts)
7. Here's something from a Politico reporter saying the same thing ...
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:20 PM
Nov 2020



The info in the Dem projection on the photo I posted makes it clear that it was prepared recently. I got the photo from Predictit's forum, but if anyone has reason to think it's false then say way. It's consistent with what repoters have been saying:

Alhena

(3,030 posts)
20. I told you, Predictit's forum - call Sen. Street's office if you like and ask him if it's a forgery
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:27 PM
Nov 2020

I'm done responding to you.

http://www.senatorsharifstreet.com/about

yardwork

(61,539 posts)
24. Nobody said it was false. But understand, there is a lot of noise on the internet.
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:43 PM
Nov 2020

It is up to each of us to question information presented without verification. Accepting things we see on the internet or twitter as fact is how the country got in this terrible situation.

Half the country believes blatantly false disinformation they're reading and hearing. If we beg them to be less gullible and to verify, we must model how to do that.

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,155 posts)
3. At this point after everything, I'm no longer focusing on projections.
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:16 PM
Nov 2020

I want to see how things turn out in the end.

Thekaspervote

(32,709 posts)
5. Thx for posting!! There has been so much spin here..arm chair statisticians projecting doom
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:18 PM
Nov 2020

Most of the above posts just now to prove my point!

What if Biden came out and talked like that...come on!!

TwilightZone

(25,428 posts)
10. Declaring victory is no more accurate at present.
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:22 PM
Nov 2020

Until all of the votes are counted, posts like this aren't any better than those that note caution or concern.

LeftInTX

(25,136 posts)
22. We do not have AZ
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:38 PM
Nov 2020

It was projected by the AP. And I believe it was projected on Election night.

Biden's lead has been shrinking. He is now ahead by 69,000 votes. Whether he wins depends. Maricopa still has ballots remaining, but large blue urban areas in the sunbelt are usually only 55% blue. There are plenty of red areas. Maricopa is a huge county. Also in AZ voting by mail is popular with the GOP. We don't know what the story is.

These calls by the media have been wrong in the past.

https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/18/0

TwilightZone

(25,428 posts)
8. 73% is a pretty assertive number.
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:20 PM
Nov 2020

Might very well happen, but I think I'll wait until official numbers before I get too excited.

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,852 posts)
14. I sure hope so!
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:23 PM
Nov 2020

I'm STARTING to question if Arizona will be won.

The optimistic Republicans there have got into my head! I usually discount those liars immediately, but it didn't help to be recently exposed to overly-optimistic Democratic projections on election night.

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