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Towlie

(5,322 posts)
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:55 PM Nov 2020

Pennsylvania looks like it's going to seal the deal for Joe Biden.

With Joe Biden at 253 electoral votes, Pennsylvania's 20 votes alone would end it.

Analysis: Biden appears to have an edge in the votes that have yet to be counted.

Nov. 5, 2020, 10:54 a.m. ET By Nate Cohn

Pennsylvania: So far, Joseph R. Biden Jr., the Democratic candidate, has been winning absentee votes, 77 percent to 22 percent, according to the Pennsylvania secretary of state. At that pace, he needs only 288,000 more mail votes before taking the lead. By my count, there are about 500,000 mail ballots left. The secretary of state reported a total of 2.6 million absentee ballots cast as of Tuesday, and so far 2.1 million absentee votes have been counted. If Mr. Biden won those 500,000 ballots by the same pace, he would end with a lead of about 100,000 votes in the state. That’s a pretty decent cushion. That estimate may also be conservative. The remaining mail ballots are disproportionately in Democratic counties, and there are more remaining absentee votes than estimated here.

more...


Even if this somehow goes wrong there are other ways that Biden can win.
12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Pennsylvania looks like it's going to seal the deal for Joe Biden. (Original Post) Towlie Nov 2020 OP
Yeah but it's having a time out soothsayer Nov 2020 #1
Not in Philly. That's where Biden will win. PubliusEnigma Nov 2020 #2
Oh thank goodness soothsayer Nov 2020 #8
only agony county, and it's all over 28k votes tied up in a lawsuit... getagrip_already Nov 2020 #5
Only Allegheny County ... Pittsburg Botany Nov 2020 #9
100k, 80k, 50k awesomerwb1 Nov 2020 #3
They've stopped counting 35K Allegheny Co. mail-in ballots until tomorrow. catbyte Nov 2020 #4
Just one county AkFemDem Nov 2020 #6
only agony county...... getagrip_already Nov 2020 #7
Allegheny County finished it up late last night FakeNoose Nov 2020 #12
Wouldn't some of those ballots be 'spoiled' and rejected pandr32 Nov 2020 #10
Speculation at this point seems meaningless Under The Radar Nov 2020 #11

getagrip_already

(14,647 posts)
5. only agony county, and it's all over 28k votes tied up in a lawsuit...
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 12:58 PM
Nov 2020

The philly area alone has enough votes to close this.

FakeNoose

(32,599 posts)
12. Allegheny County finished it up late last night
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 01:58 PM
Nov 2020

It's not that they stopped, they are done with the count. I believe they still need to run the military absentee votes and the provisional ballots that were issued on election day. Those won't be run until next week, as I understand it.


pandr32

(11,562 posts)
10. Wouldn't some of those ballots be 'spoiled' and rejected
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 01:04 PM
Nov 2020

I saw a video of them being carefully gone over to make sure there are no mistakes. Who knows how many?

Under The Radar

(3,401 posts)
11. Speculation at this point seems meaningless
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 01:54 PM
Nov 2020

We have seen election polling for two years now. “If the election we held today” at least once a week.
National averages mean little when it is this close because even in California, the rural areas are consistently conservative and the urban areas even in Texas are liberal.
I am so sick of the spin, so tired of the optimistic speculation, power of positive thinking bullstuff, cause right now if it isn’t based on fact, it is only a lie.

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