Pennsylvania: counties are continuing to count. Several hundred thousand ballots

[applegrove]

left to count. They will be counting into the weekend. CNN Only tiny percentage of in person ballots left to count.

350,000 was the last figure spokesperson saw for number of ballots yet to count.

Oh god. Spokesperson SS of Penn said some negative tweets about Trump 4 years ago before she was secretary of state for Pennsilvania. So it is going to be like that with the Trumpies in Penn.

[Cattledog]

1. And Biden is winning across the board, even Trump counties.

[onecaliberal]

2. Yes his morning they're saying today now suddenly it's this weekend. What the hell?

[BusyBeingBest]

3. Several hundred thousand could be 200,000-400,000?

Let's hope it's on the higher end of the range.

[Mike 03]

4. It seems to be 340,000

This number was a revision of the 550,000 figure that was floating around earlier. The NYT maintains it is 500,000 and still hasn't corrected that number, but I'm going with the 340,000 number until I hear otherwise.

This thread has some details:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214461431

[MyNameIsKhan]

5. what I understood from Nate Cohn twitter feed that 550 is today pending including counted

but not reported, 350k is not counted.

[Mike 03]

7. Thank you for the clarification!

That explains a lot! That is probably why the NYT hasn't corrected their number.

Thanks!

[BusyBeingBest]

6. Thanks.

[applegrove]

8. Thanks.

[DoBotherMe]

9. I'm not a statistician

Last edited Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:08 PM - Edit history (2)

But according to the PA website
2614635 mail-in, drop off ballots were received
2288277 mail-in, drop off ballots have been counted
There are 326348 remaining to be counted

Biden total votes counted 3157040
Trump total votes counted 3247690

Biden's average ratio is between 72%-66%
Trump's average ratio is between 38%-33%

https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx
On page 2 of the dashboard reports

[LeftInTX]

10. Biden is not making the gains

Last batch, Trump was up 90,544

Now Trump is up 90,629


It seems like peanuts, but this means that Biden is less than 50% in each batch to overcome the 90,000 vote deficit.

[DoBotherMe]

11. I'm using the PA website

Biden current vote totals 3181514 = 24474 of 36720 posted since that earlier number I showed or 66%
Trump current vote totals 3259932 = 12246 of 36720 posted since that earlier number I showed or 33%

I got these numbers here https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/ and they are moving
I got the mailin numbers here https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx (page 2 of the dashboard reports) and they haven't changed since my earlier post.

As I said, I'm not a statistician, so I don't know what any of it portends.

[LeftInTX]

12. Biden is now making headway

Fingers crosses