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Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:18 PM

AP VOTE COUNT DIFFERENTIALS FOR GA, NV, NC, PA, AZ since 4:15 pm Nov 5 2020

Last edited Fri Nov 6, 2020, 10:46 PM - Edit history (25)

Outstanding votes left in GA = 20,000 + 700 absentee + 8,900 requested overseas and military
Outstanding votes left in NV = 102,000 mail in
Outstanding votes left in NC = 41,000 provisional + 110,000 absentee
Outstanding votes left to count in PA = 102,000
Outstanding votes left in AZ = 250,000 to 270,000 + 18,000 provisional

The following numbers show an rise or drop in whoever is leading in remaining battlegrounds.

I just do the math. I subtract the lower count from the higher from the AP rolling new count totals:
https://www.google.com/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=electoral+votes+by+state&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8

I'll probably do the total differentials 'til 11 pm EST. Maybe we'll have nice surprises by tomorrow am.


GA-- Biden leads -- 99% reporting
Nov 6

917
918
1,091
1,557
1,585
4,020






NV -- Biden leads -- 87% reporting
Nov 5

11,420
11,438

Nov 6

20,137
22,657



NC -- Trump leads, counting stopped
76,701


PA -- Biden assumes the lead below the line -- 98% reporting
Nov 5

97,924
90,566
78,338
75,451
74,261
64,261
63,720
53,218
51,622
42,178 at 9:35 pm EST
41,962 at 10:10 pm EST
36,385
26,132 at 10:43 pm EST
23,766 at 11: 55 pm EST
18,042 at 8:01 am EST
-----------------
Nov 6
5,594 at 8:50 am EST

5,596
13,662
13,673
13,720
21,749
27,174




AZ -- Biden lead -- 90% reporting
Nov 5

66,179
65,179
61,469
58,953
56,833
46,257 at 7 pm MST
47,052 at 6:00 am MST

Nov 6

41,302
40,954
at 2:58 pm MST
39,769
36,816
29,861




13 replies, 1348 views

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Response to ancianita (Original post)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:19 PM

1. AZ is now 57,844

Maricopa incoming in about 45 minutes.

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Response to sweetloukillbot (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:21 PM

3. That should boost Biden's lead

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #3)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:25 PM

5. Trump hasn't been meeting his margins on the bigger drops

We’ll see what Maricopa holds.

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Response to ancianita (Original post)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:20 PM

2. Thx for posting..very helpful to see it all on one page

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #2)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 11:41 PM

12. It's good to see the pace of battleground count changes, and which state will finish counting first.

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Response to ancianita (Original post)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:37 PM

6. NC has a lot of outstanding votes.

That gives me some hope.

-Laelth

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Response to Laelth (Reply #6)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:41 PM

8. Looks like too much to make up, no? n/t

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Response to moonscape (Reply #8)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:45 PM

11. Probably. Hard to say. n/t



-Laelth

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Response to Laelth (Reply #6)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:42 PM

9. I'm only using ballot numbers media have reported as outstanding in the last 4-6 hours.

Last edited Fri Nov 6, 2020, 01:01 AM - Edit history (1)

The AP doesn't report any ballots that are outstanding.

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Response to ancianita (Original post)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:39 PM

7. In the end, Biden will win Arizona...not by a great deal but by enough.

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Response to Demsrule86 (Reply #7)

Thu Nov 5, 2020, 09:44 PM

10. I hope you're right. Maricopa is McCain country but has some vicious Republicans, as we know.

Seems to me that with at least 350,000 outstanding, Biden might win by a lot.

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Response to ancianita (Original post)

Fri Nov 6, 2020, 09:06 AM

13. Good morning. Just putting this out there.

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