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I'm calling AZ for Biden (Original Post) RandySF Nov 2020 OP
but the lead is shrinking, no? AlexSFCA Nov 2020 #1
not many votes left, as some point dumbass won't be able to overcome Joe and it's over KewlKat Nov 2020 #2
how many more left? AlexSFCA Nov 2020 #5
173K Per the SoS, 92K of Maricopa sweetloukillbot Nov 2020 #18
that's still a lot of ballots AlexSFCA Nov 2020 #20
50-60k maybe Tarc Nov 2020 #19
Not significantly. The Velveteen Ocelot Nov 2020 #4
Trump isn't getting enough votes to overtake Biden. madaboutharry Nov 2020 #6
Yes, but not fast enough Salviati Nov 2020 #22
He's not getting 60% of the remaking vote. No way. herding cats Nov 2020 #3
For God's sake, Randy... Chichiri Nov 2020 #7
At this rate, Biden wins by 10k texasfiddler Nov 2020 #12
You too! Outside! nt Chichiri Nov 2020 #14
Oops hit wrong reply button texasfiddler Nov 2020 #15
Nevada too, please? coti Nov 2020 #8
The malevolent Mango needs 58% average to exceed Biden. This ain't good at all for it. fearnobush Nov 2020 #9
I'm calling it too. madaboutharry Nov 2020 #10
Trump gained only 10K out of 130K votes out of Maricopa today - there is only about 70K left there.. sunonmars Nov 2020 #11
Yeah, it's over. Nt coti Nov 2020 #16
Everytime a batch comes in that's below 60%, the threshold goes up Buckeyeblue Nov 2020 #13
I hereby declare Biden has won Arizona Captain Zero Nov 2020 #17
YOU"RE in good company with WSJ, AP, and Fox triron Nov 2020 #21

sweetloukillbot

(10,971 posts)
18. 173K Per the SoS, 92K of Maricopa
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 10:15 PM
Nov 2020

Trump is seriously underperforming to catch Biden. Trump needed to be hitting 58/59 to overtake, this split was 53/44.
The only big batch of pro-Biden ballots left is Pinal, which has about 29K. Pinal broke 58/40 earlier today.

Tarc

(10,472 posts)
19. 50-60k maybe
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 10:16 PM
Nov 2020

But the thing is, every time he comes up short with what's needed to close the gap, it nudges the % needed on the next batch.

70,000 just came in, Trump needed 60% to start turning the tide, but he came up short, 55%. Now he needs to hit a little north of 60% on the rest.

madaboutharry

(40,190 posts)
6. Trump isn't getting enough votes to overtake Biden.
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 10:11 PM
Nov 2020

He needs to be winning 60% of the votes.

It looks like Biden is going to win Arizona.

Salviati

(6,008 posts)
22. Yes, but not fast enough
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 10:21 PM
Nov 2020

Before the last drop, trump had to win the remaining votes 59/41, after the last batch, he did gain ground, but he's got to win the rest by 65/35. Every time he fails to clear the margin, the margin goes up for the next batch and it just makes it harder to catch up by the end.

herding cats

(19,558 posts)
3. He's not getting 60% of the remaking vote. No way.
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 10:09 PM
Nov 2020

But, the drama is good for ratings... so, it'll go on.

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
7. For God's sake, Randy...
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 10:11 PM
Nov 2020

...are you TRYING to tempt the wrath of the whatever from high atop the thing?

Now go outside, turn around three times, and spit!

texasfiddler

(1,989 posts)
12. At this rate, Biden wins by 10k
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 10:13 PM
Nov 2020

Last edited Sat Nov 14, 2020, 06:13 PM - Edit history (1)

Final vote 10,016. Damn! I was off by 16. I need to rethink my calculation methods.

Buckeyeblue

(5,499 posts)
13. Everytime a batch comes in that's below 60%, the threshold goes up
Fri Nov 6, 2020, 10:13 PM
Nov 2020

I don't see that there are enough votes left. I think they can call it as well.

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