General Discussion

Roland99

(53,342 posts) Wed Nov 11, 2020, 09:25 AM Nov 2020

AZ - 11/11 morning update - slightly worse for trump overall but a smaller lead for Biden

AZ
Biden: 1,655,192
trump: 1,642,379
Other: 51,187

New Biden: 2,476
New trump: 3,429
New Other: 114

% New Biden: 41.14%
% New trump: 56.97%
% New Other: 1.89%

Diff: 12,813
Remaining (Est): 40,565

Trend: trump is averaging 57.7%. He needs 66.0% (1pt higher than yesterday!)

16 replies

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AZ - 11/11 morning update - slightly worse for trump overall but a smaller lead for Biden (Original Post) Roland99 Nov 2020 OP

Biden will win AZ when all the votes are counted. yardwork Nov 2020 #1

Vote Diff could drop below 10k before it's over BUT recount wouldn't happen Roland99 Nov 2020 #4

NV - no update; GA - lead at 14,101 (0.29pt lead); PA - lead down slightly to 45,616 Roland99 Nov 2020 #2

Other is really chewing into the Orange Blunder. Hugin Nov 2020 #3

I'm anticipating future confusion here. Buckeye_Democrat Nov 2020 #5

"Joe Scab" works for me... robbob Nov 2020 #15

Maricopa again? How many left in Pima? triron Nov 2020 #6

few hundred each from Coconino and Mohave. Not sure where the 5,195 batch came from Roland99 Nov 2020 #7

Drip, drip, drip. Just so it remains "slightly worse for Trump". oasis Nov 2020 #8

Arizona SOS website says almost 46000 left. triron Nov 2020 #9

which is pretty close to what NYT estimates + that last batch Roland99 Nov 2020 #10

I suspected as much. Thanks. triron Nov 2020 #11

totally guesstimating...either way, odds of twitler making substantial gains are slim to none Roland99 Nov 2020 #13

Pretty slow to wrap up counting votes in this state. FloridaBlues Nov 2020 #12

all states slow way down when processing provisionals and curing ballots Roland99 Nov 2020 #14

Yes in close elections grantcart Nov 2020 #16

yardwork

(61,599 posts)

1. Biden will win AZ when all the votes are counted.

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 09:27 AM

Nov 2020

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

4. Vote Diff could drop below 10k before it's over BUT recount wouldn't happen

Reply to yardwork (Reply #1)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 09:31 AM

Nov 2020

Has to be within 1/10 of 1% (0.001) and that would be only if the vote diff was less than about 3,400 votes

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

2. NV - no update; GA - lead at 14,101 (0.29pt lead); PA - lead down slightly to 45,616

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 09:29 AM

Nov 2020

Note: GA has NO automatic recount. Manual recount can be requested if difference is 0.50% or less

Hugin

(33,135 posts)

3. Other is really chewing into the Orange Blunder.

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 09:29 AM

Nov 2020

The other Joe.

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,853 posts)

5. I'm anticipating future confusion here.

Reply to Hugin (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 09:33 AM

Nov 2020

Morning Joe will say something dumb, and it will be posted as, "Joe just said..."

robbob

(3,527 posts)

15. "Joe Scab" works for me...

Reply to Buckeye_Democrat (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 11:14 AM

Nov 2020

triron

(21,999 posts)

6. Maricopa again? How many left in Pima?

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 09:55 AM

Nov 2020

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

7. few hundred each from Coconino and Mohave. Not sure where the 5,195 batch came from

Reply to triron (Reply #6)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 09:59 AM

Nov 2020

oasis

(49,378 posts)

8. Drip, drip, drip. Just so it remains "slightly worse for Trump".

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 10:00 AM

Nov 2020

triron

(21,999 posts)

9. Arizona SOS website says almost 46000 left.

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 10:18 AM

Nov 2020

https://www.arizona.vote/ballot-progress.html

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

10. which is pretty close to what NYT estimates + that last batch

Reply to triron (Reply #9)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 10:23 AM

Nov 2020

perhaps AZ SOS hasn't updated from the last batch last night?

triron

(21,999 posts)

11. I suspected as much. Thanks.

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #10)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 10:25 AM

Nov 2020

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

13. totally guesstimating...either way, odds of twitler making substantial gains are slim to none

Reply to triron (Reply #11)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 10:28 AM

Nov 2020

and slim left town last friday!

FloridaBlues

(4,008 posts)

12. Pretty slow to wrap up counting votes in this state.

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 10:27 AM

Nov 2020

Has Arizona always been this slow in counting ballots?

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

14. all states slow way down when processing provisionals and curing ballots

Reply to FloridaBlues (Reply #12)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 10:29 AM

Nov 2020

it's a time-consuming process.

It's just usually not noticed as elections are called and loser concedes pretty early. Only in 2000 was there a longer period but it was all focused on a recount

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

16. Yes in close elections

Reply to FloridaBlues (Reply #12)

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 11:24 AM

Nov 2020

Sinema just edged McSally out then pulled ahead days after the bulk of the votes were counted.

Since the rules almost always prevent a recount you want them to be careful and correct.

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