General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsFor whatever it is worth-InsiderAdv poll-Warnock +1, Ossoff Tied
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/georgia/philf99
(238 posts)Lets make sure we get out our voters and watch the returns on election night
TomCADem
(17,382 posts)Polling can only measure the expressed intention of people to vote. But, if you stall the mail in Atlanta, cut down on polling locations in urban areas, enforce voter ID strictly against minorities and make people in urban areas wait for hours, Republicans can gain a few points notwithstanding the polls. This is why Republicans suppress the vote: because it is effective in a close race. Sure, it is not going to stop a landslide, but in a close race, it has an impact.
BainsBane
(53,016 posts)is absolutely nothing.
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)obamanut2012
(26,047 posts)At least until it somehow becomes more scientific.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)Sucha NastyWoman
(2,741 posts)Needs to be televised on local TV, so that once the counting is done no one can claim that there was any cheating.
Even if it turns out badly for us, Id like to know that the count is correct.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)getagrip_already
(14,647 posts)Not much more value than that. Been like that forever.
They are statistical junk.
dawg
(10,621 posts)wysimdnwyg
(2,230 posts)it will be interesting to see if they come back to normal when Trump is not on the ballot. If you exclude elections when Trump was running (not just his race, but when he's on the ballot), polls have been pretty accurate overall. That said, do I trust these? No, not really. And this is definitely a time when turnout is 90% of the results, regardless of the polls. We know the public is somewhere in the 45-55% range. It's going to be about who can get their side to show up.
Indyfan53
(473 posts)They have been wrong over the last four years. This past election was much closer than predicted.
JI7
(89,241 posts)budkin
(6,699 posts)I wont be following it much going forward.
radius777
(3,635 posts)-the state is historically a red, voter-suppressed state.
-Repubs tend to do better in runoffs and downballot races.
-Biden won the state but some of his voters were Repubs who voted for Purdue and Loeffler.
-Purdue outperformed Trump and beat Ossoff by 87k votes. The libertarian had 115k votes and such voters tend to lean red.
We must turn out more vote in the deep blue metro areas and surrounding burbs. Stacey Abrams was on talking about this. IMO a black candidate (Warnock) on the ticket helps us with black turnout. Ossoff helps us with the white moderates. We just need to do good GOTV and run a strong campaign. The state voted for Biden and we must make it clear it is Mitch who will stand in the way of everything (including the stimulus money) that voters want done.