More than 470,000 Americans will die from coronavirus by March, experts forecast

[Celerity]

https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-11-20-20-intl/h_fe98f7bc3f2641be0527473b25141852

The coronavirus pandemic is getting so bad, so quickly, across the United States that an influential academic modeling group has hiked its forecast of deaths considerably. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington School of Medicine now predicts 471,000 people will die from Covid-19 by March 1. That’s up from its forecast of 438,941 just a week ago.



The group said their forecast "assumes that 40 states would reimpose social distancing mandates as the daily death rate exceeds 8 per million." If states do not do this, the "death toll could reach 658,000 by March 1,” they added. “Hospital systems in most states will be under severe stress during December and January even in our reference scenario. Increasing mask use to 95% can save 65,000 lives by March 1," the institute said.

This increased death forecast is even taking into account that the US has improved the infection-fatality ratio with better treatments. “Our analysis suggests that after controlling for age, sex, comorbidities, and disease severity at admission, the hospital-fatality rate has declined by about 30% since March/April,” it said. Obesity is a major factor in the fatality rate, it said.

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https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=total-deaths&tab=trend

COVID-19 Projections
GHDX
VIZ HUB
Regions shown are the World Bank regional aggregates.

[Mike 03]

1. We'll blow past 405,399, total American deaths in WW II.

That's an enormous number.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_military_casualties_of_war

[roamer65]

2. I think it will eventually be 750,000 to 1,000,000.

Given the anti-vaxxers will still spread it for years to come.

Plus the vaccine will fail in 5-6 percent of people receiving it.

Even if u are vaccinated, you still will be able to have a sub clinical case of it.

[Blue Owl]

3. So when are all these murders going to be charged against Donald J. Trump?

He was elected, supposedly, to run our country and keep us safe from these pandemics just like Obama did with Ebola. He has not only failed to do this, but actively lied and withheld critical information that could have been useful in preventing the spread of this pandemic. He has failed -- and failed miserably, without an ounce of remorse or concern.

I want this motherfucker charged with the negligent homicide for the deaths of every American who has died from Covid-19.

[LizBeth]

4. And that does not seem to include all the unrecorded covid deaths. The true number is

much higher.