Republican David Valadao defeats TJ Cox for California seat in Congress, analyst says

[Celerity]

https://www.fresnobee.com/news/politics-government/election/local-election/article247335059.html

Hanford Republican David Valadao’s lead in the U.S. House District 21 race shrunk Friday, but a political analyst has called the race.

Valadao, the challenger for the district, leads Rep. TJ Cox, D-Fresno, by 1,618 votes after the latest update from Kern County. Cox trimmed 178 votes from Valadao’s lead on Friday.

With the number of votes left to count from Fresno, Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties dwindling, the lead was enough for Dave Wasserman, U.S. House editor for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report and NBC News contributor.

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[uponit7771]

1. Everyone has seen enough to know the polling sucks in this country

[dustyscamp]

2. It really sucks that the Cons gained a few seats in California

I kind of see why some of the Magas say Cali was going to flip red.

[Celerity]

4. they flipped 4, 2 in OC and then one right north of LA plus this one

It is located in the San Joaquin Valley and includes Kings County and portions of Fresno, Kern, and Tulare counties. Cities in the district include Coalinga, Delano, Hanford, and part of Bakersfield.

[Polybius]

3. 9 net gains for the GOP this year, and a few still left to call

2022 could get ugly.

[Celerity]

5. the only won left we have a shot at winning is IA-2 (we are down 47 votes), the rest are all lost

so we will have 222 or 223 seats max

18 to 19 net seats lost since the 2018 midterms

and 2022 is looking grim

good shot we lose the House

[Polybius]

6. Kevin McCarthy as House Speaker will be far worse than John Boehner or Paul Ryan

The only good thing to come out of that is that it would help Biden in 2024.

[Celerity]

7. they are crazy enough to impeach Biden too, even knowing it goes nowhere in the Senate

[RandySF]

8. Cox had problems from the beginning of his House term.