Biden's plan is 4 trillion USD total, 2 trillion USD announced now, 2 trillion USD coming in April

[Celerity]

https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-biden-infrastructure/biden-kicks-off-effort-to-reshape-us-economy-with-infrastructure-package-idUSL1N2LS2M5

March 31 (Reuters) - President Joe Biden on Wednesday will call for a dramatic and more permanent shift in the direction of the U.S. economy with a roughly $2 trillion package to invest in traditional projects like roads and bridges alongside tackling climate change and boosting human services like elder care. He also aims to put corporate America on the hook for the tab, which is expected to grow to a combined $4 trillion once he rolls out the second part of his economic plan in April. Coupled with his recently enacted $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package, Biden’s infrastructure initiative would give the federal government a bigger role in the U.S. economy than it has had in generations, accounting for 20% or more of annual output. The effort, to be announced on Wednesday at an event in Pittsburgh, sets the stage for the next partisan clash in Congress where members largely agree that capital investments are needed but are divided on the total size and inclusion of programs traditionally seen as social services. Just how to pay for them will be a fractious issue in its own right. Biden for now is ignoring a campaign promise and sparing wealthy Americans from any tax increase.

The plan would increase the corporate tax rate to 28% from 21% and change the tax code to close loopholes that allow companies to move profits overseas, according to a senior administration official. It does not include expected increases in the top marginal tax rate or to the capital gains tax. The plan would spread the cost for projects over an eight-year period and aims to pay for it all over 15 years, the senior administration official said. The plan also includes $621 billion to rebuild the nation’s infrastructure, such as roads, bridges, highways and ports, including a historic $174 billion investment in the electric vehicle market that sets a goal of a nationwide charging network by 2030. Congress will also be asked to put $400 billion toward expanding access to affordable home or community-based care for aging Americans and people with disabilities. There is $213 billion provided to build and retrofit affordable and sustainable homes along with hundreds of billions to support U.S. manufacturing, bolster the nation’s electric grid, enact nationwide high-speed broadband and revamp the nation’s water systems to ensure clean drinking water.

SECOND LEGISLATIVE PACKAGE COMING

Biden is moving forward with the massive job and infrastructure effort as he navigates an ambitious time line to provide enough COVID vaccines for all adults by the end of May and the deployment of pandemic relief. The White House is also dealing with a rise in the number of migrants at the southern border, the fallout from back-to-back mass shootings and a looming showdown over the Senate filibuster. The plan forms one part of the “Build Back Better” agenda that the administration aims to introduce. The White House has said the administration will introduce a second legislative package within weeks. The second package is expected to include an expansion in health insurance coverage, an extension of the expanded child tax benefit, and paid family and medical leave, among other efforts aimed at families, the officials said. White House officials have not explained whether they will seek to have both efforts pass at the same time or try to get Congress to approve one first.

The jockeying around Biden’s push has already begun, as allies push for inclusion of their priorities in the upcoming legislative effort and Republicans signal early concerns about the size and scope of the package. Moderate Democrats have said the package should be more targeted to traditional infrastructure projects to attract Republican votes, seeking a return to bipartisan policymaking. Liberal lawmakers want to use the party’s slim majorities in Congress to tackle some of the nation’s biggest problems, such as climate change and economic inequality, with resources that reflect the size of those challenges. Representative Pramila Jayapal, a leading progressive Democrat, said on Tuesday that outside groups like Americans for Tax Fairness pegged the infrastructure and jobs plan that Biden rolled out on the campaign trail at between $6.5 trillion and $11 trillion over 10 years. “We’d like to see a plan that goes big,” Jayapal said. “We really think that there’s ample room to get the overall number up to somewhere in that range in order to really tackle the scale of investments that we need to make.”

snip

[comradebillyboy]

1. I hope there's enough pork for West Virginia to get Manchin

on board. If he's a yes it will pass.

[Celerity]

2. Will both parts (2 trillion usd each, 4 trillion total) be lumped into one reconciliation bill?

If only one part is done through reconciliation, then the other is doomed (as it will be filibustered), unless Biden is planning to do it (the 2nd part) via reconciliation next year (which will potentially be the last chance saloon for reconciliation if we lose the House and/or the Senate in 2022).

The multiple voting rights bills will NOT be passed unless Manchin, Sinema, and Feinstein cave in and approve of substantive filibuster modifications that actually allow us to actually pass them. Without those voting rights bills, we (and the nation in general) are well fucked going forward, due to the SCOTUS likely gutting pre-existing laws, then the new 250+ voter suppression bills at state level in 43 or more states, plus the cocked-up partisan gerrymandering (for both state and federal districts) that is going to occur between now and the 2022 elections.

[comradebillyboy]

3. My guess is that both parts will go via reconciliation

unless Manchin and Sinema decide to support doing away with the filibuster.

[Celerity]

4. They just need to agree to modify it, not bin it, they will never vote to bin it altogether.

Sinema is the one who is potentially going to be harder than Manchin to even get to agree to modify it. She (this is madness) wants a 60 vote threshold on ALL Senate actions.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100215175635

[roamer65]

5. Top marginal income tax rate needs to go to 50 percent as well.

We have go to get more revenue flowing into the Treasury. We are issuing too much debt.

[Celerity]

6. what would be your baseline (where the 50% rate starts)?

here are the current rates

[roamer65]

7. Turn the 37 pct into 50 pct.

I’d also make the first 10k for singles and 20k for couples tax free.

I have no problem taxing the income beyond the first 500k at a 50 percent rate.

Hell... at this point I’d settle for 45 percent for the top rate.

[Celerity]

8. Well, the bottom 43% of the US pays no net federal income tax atm

So you don't have to really worry about the very bottom, other than it may give a little more back on EITC refunds. I am not sure if I would straight convert the top bracket (at the current cutoff) from 37 right to 50%. I would probably like to see a few intermediary steps up to the full 50%. For sure the 50% woukd kick in for AGI of 1 million usd per annum and up.

Heavy lifting ahead, lol.

[roamer65]

9. Deficit reduction.

We need it for just that reason alone. Too much debt will cause a debt and currency crisis.

I would not do deficit reduction via cuts. I would do it via tax increases on the upper end.

[Celerity]

10. unless you are a fan of MMT, which is a whole other kettle of fish that I am not diving into, lol

cheers