National Memo: Afghanistan forever. And ever. And ever.
http://www.nationalmemo.com/content/afghanistan-forever-and-ever-and-ever
Why do we think we can win the war in Afghanistan when we can't even win the drug war in Afghanistan?
If you need a symbol of how America's decade-long war is going in this faraway land, look no farther than the beautiful fields of red poppies flowering so bountifully there. Unfortunately, that bounty symbolizes a failure of an ambitious Western initiative against the Taliban forces.
Innocent little poppies are the raw material for producing opium -- and the poppy crop in just one Afghanistan province supplies more than 40 percent of the world's opium trade. In turn, that illicit flower power fuels the Taliban with tens of millions of dollars a year to buy weapons, recruit and train fighters, make bombs, bribe Afghan officials and otherwise make war. So, the West's strategy has included an all-out effort to eradicate poppy production in the province, both by banning the crop and by helping Afghanistan's impoverished sharecroppers switch to such alternatives as wheat and cotton. Good theory! If it works.
It hasn't. Many poppy growers didn't like having their cash crop taken away from them, so they moved to a desert region of the province that's under Taliban control and turns out to be remarkably productive poppy land. Meanwhile, those raising wheat and cotton are producing good crops, but Western development specialists forgot to focus on the key factor in convincing people to switch: profit. For example, Afghan cotton is not competitive with cheaper cotton from Pakistan, plus, the lone cotton mill in the province often isn't working and is notoriously slow in paying farmers.
Bottom line is that more farmers are going into the desert because, as one put it, "there aren't any other crops where we can make enough money to fill our children's stomachs." Overall poppy production in Afghanistan is on the rise -- up by 7 percent last year and expected to increase more this year. Lesson: Winning the hearts and minds of the Afghan people is one thing, but begin with their children's stomachs.
