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TomCADem

(17,380 posts)
Sun Oct 10, 2021, 09:45 PM Oct 2021

Competitive Senate Races in 2022 - Who Are the Democrats Running In FL, WI, NC, OH and PA?

Last edited Mon Oct 11, 2021, 01:58 PM - Edit history (1)

Is Val Demings running against Rubio in Florida? Likewise, are there any viable Democrats running in MO, NC, PA and WI?

AZ Mark Kelly (D)
FL Marco Rubio (R)
GA Raphael Warnock (D)
MO Roy Blunt (Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022)
NC Richard Burr (Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022)
NH Maggie Hassan (D)
NV Catherine Masto (D)
OH Rob Portman (R) Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
PA Patrick Toomey (R) Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022.
WI Ron Johnson (R)

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blue neen

(12,319 posts)
2. We have some very good Democratic candidates running in PA.
Sun Oct 10, 2021, 10:03 PM
Oct 2021

John Fetterman and Conor Lamb are just two of them.

blm

(112,996 posts)
3. Two top candidates in NC are Jeff Jackson and Cheri Beasley.
Sun Oct 10, 2021, 10:13 PM
Oct 2021

Beasley is better known as she just ran statewide in 2020 for State Supreme Court judge and was the incumbent. Sadly, she lost narrowly to a total dipshit Republican tool Paul Newby. She has already raised close to 3million dollars.

Jeff Jackson is a state senator who also has already raised 3million dollars with zero PAC money. He’s the guy in NC no Republican wants to face or debate. They actually targeted him by redrawing his district to favor the Republican and he still won with 55% of the vote.

Celerity

(43,039 posts)
9. New Footage Shows NC Dem Senate Candidate Lauding Filibuster
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 07:35 AM
Oct 2021
https://www.thedailybeast.com/new-footage-shows-north-carolina-democratic-senate-candidate-cheri-beasley-lauding-filibuster

As their legislative wish list languishes in a deadlocked Senate, many Democrats are more anxious than ever to jettison the filibuster—and they’re hoping the 2022 midterm elections will bring to the Senate more supporters of changing that long-standing rule. But a Democratic front-runner in one of the most competitive states on the 2022 map, Cheri Beasley of North Carolina, is not only uncommitted about ending the Senate’s 60-vote threshold for passing bills, she has declared on the campaign trail that the filibuster has been a good thing in the past. During a video call with supporters in August, Beasley was asked about her position on the filibuster, according to a recording of the event obtained by The Daily Beast. She said she had “thought deeply about it” but did not offer a position one way or the other. But Beasley did offer an unusual argument to see from a Democratic candidate about the filibuster in 2021. “The reality is,” she said, “it has in many ways benefited Democrats and people across North Carolina.”

Many Democrats have cast the filibuster as a remnant of a racist and discriminatory past by tagging it as a “Jim Crow relic,” as former President Obama and others have done, given its role in blocking civil rights legislation. And many Democratic voters—particularly the more liberal ones—increasingly feel that lawmakers ought to abolish the 60-vote threshold. Which is why Beasley’s viewpoint on the Senate rule may be consequential. The former chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court was the first Black woman to serve in that role, and she has cast herself as the kind of independent-minded, battle-tested candidate that can win a tough race in the state. “Cheri believes a procedural rule shouldn’t stand in the way of solutions that an overwhelming majority of North Carolinians support,” said Dory MacMillan, a spokesperson for the Beasley campaign, when asked about the recording. “Given the grave threat to democracy she would support a carve out for legislation to support voting rights, and as she has said, would consider broader reforms to the filibuster.”

Asked by The Daily Beast what Beasley felt to be a positive outcome of the filibuster, her campaign pointed to the failure of anti-abortion legislation championed by Republicans, which have failed in the Senate, and to GOP attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act, though there is plenty of debate among Democrats about whether or not the 60-vote threshold truly protected their signature health care law. The comment is the first public confirmation that Beasley specifically supports changing the Senate’s 60-vote vote threshold in order to pass a voting and elections overhaul, a third option that moderate Democrats are increasingly warming up to as their signature bill, the For The People Act, stalls amid GOP filibusters.

And it remains consistent that Beasley has not ruled out or in more sweeping changes to the filibuster rule, though she has not publicly credited the filibuster for positive outcomes in the way she did during the private call. Since entering the race in May, local outlets have said Beasley has ducked questions about the issue. Beasley’s main rival, state Sen. Jeff Jackson, has courted liberal primary voters’ support by embracing calls to end the filibuster. After saying in January his support for the 60-vote threshold was conditional on GOP obstructionism, Jackson publicly slammed a main filibuster holdout in April, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV), calling his position “incredibly reckless.” Jackson said people could call Manchin’s office to register their disapproval—“or you can just elect me and we’re good here,” he tweeted.

snip

dsc

(52,147 posts)
11. that puts me firmly in the Jackson camp
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 07:40 AM
Oct 2021

the filibuster is not only the top issue, it is equal to the top 10 issues combined, since if we don't get rid of it we won't get anything else except for her carve outs (if that).

Celerity

(43,039 posts)
12. Been in his camp since the 2020 elections. I so wish he had run versus Tillis, instead of the
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 08:26 AM
Oct 2021

sexting and extramarital affair scandal-ridden Cunningham.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_North_Carolina

Cunningham admitted to exchanging sexual text messages with a woman who was not his wife, damaging an image that leaned heavily on his character and military service. Days later, the woman confirmed that she had a consensual physical relationship with Cunningham in 2020. The Army Reserve started an investigation into Cunningham. The husband of the woman who confirmed having an affair with Cunningham, himself an Army veteran, called on Cunningham to drop out of the Senate race. Asked repeatedly whether he had had other extramarital affairs, Cunningham declined to answer.


Besides NC, there were multiple other people who were clearly the best possible candidates, but who refused to run in 2020 (and for one, in 2018 as well). They would have prevented Manchin and Sinema from having anywhere near the power those two have now. I had been posting on it all throughout the 2019/2020 primary season.

We were so poor at recruiting the best candidates.

North Carolina (already discussed) A case could also be made for Stein and Foxx both being better candidates than Cuingham as well.

Tennessee - Tim McGraw has now TWICE turned down open seats, after promising he would likely run for Senate once he was 50 years old. 2018 was especially frustrating, as not only was it an open seats, but the Rethugs nominated a weak, insane, stupid nutter in Marsha Blackburn, AND McGraw would have had the huge Blue Wave at his back. Then, in 2020, he refused to run for another open seat.

Maine - Stephen King would have beaten Collins, I am 99% convinced of this. He is a native Mainer (so important in that state) and ultra popular. Gideon is not a native Mainer and Collins pounded her with this. Susan Rice is not a native, so would have had that issue, but was also probably a superior candidate to Gideon. King's turndown was such a disappointment, as was Manchin fucking endorsing Collins, which she so used to bolster her faux moderate, pragmatic, bi-partisan bullshit framing.

Kansas -Kathleen Sebelius was not only the only Dem who could have won, but she would have been the favourite (the consensus of all major local state media and experts). It was an open seat too, and Marshall was far from an ultra strong lock.

Iowa - Tom Vilsack would have a far better chance to win than Greenfield, the same likely for Axne, but both refused to run against the pig castrator MAGAt Ernst.

Alaska - We did not even run a candidate, and I was very unhappy that a previous, proven winner (he was a US Senator from Alaska before) Mark Begich, refused to run.


Finally, there were hundreds of millions of dollars shit away on fantasyland races in SC, KY, and TX (plus ME to a degree, mainly because they did not shift their excess cash to states in need late in the game).

Those 4 campaigns never came close to spending all the monies they received, and yet two races, IA, and especially Bullock in MT, were cash-starved and could not respond effectively to one hundred million plus, in late-in-the-game dark RW money that buried Greenfield and especially Bullock, who was leading until the giant negative advert blitz at the end permanently turned the tide.

We were never going to beat Cornyn (he is no Cruz, and there was no 2018 Blue Wave), not even Beto would have prevailed. McTurtle was always going to win plus we had a poor candidate who kicked off her campaign by saying she would have voted to approve drunk-rapey Kavanaugh, arfff.

And then there is South Carolina. In SC, there was one external poll, an outlier poll (internal polls are often spin-up jobs), weeks and weeks out from the election, that showed Harrison in a virtual tie with Graham. Harrison ran with that poll the rest of the election (U saw like 50-100 adverts on my American streams whilst watching MSNBC/CNN), even though it reverted to him trailing more and more. So so much money poured in, far more than they could spend, all in vain.

IA and MT so so needed the extra cash from those 4 campaigns to counter the late, dark money, RW media blitz, and were not helped enough, as people gave their cash with their hearts, not their heads, for wish-fulfilment emotionally driven races. Also, again, the national orgs did a poor job redistributing the excess.


Bullock was the ONLY 'best possible Dem candidate' who lost in 2020 in realistic races for the Senate. All the others won their races. Poor recruitment sunk us, and Bullock was leading until that massive last minute RW injection of lying attack adverts buried him, as he did not have the cash to counter it.

Really fuming still over TN (twice, especially 2018 as McGraw would have had that huge Blue Wave at his back and Blackburn was such a fucking RWNJ and highly limited intellectually, she is one of the least intelligent Senators in the past 20,30 years), KS, ME, and NC (NC also because of Cunningham's fucking stupid choice to engage in moronic behaviour and blow his lead).



dsc

(52,147 posts)
13. I was a coin flip to be honest
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 09:47 AM
Oct 2021

I saw positives and negatives in both people but the filibuster is a huge, huge deal. I would vote for an anti gay Democrat who was in favor of ditching the filibuster over a pro gay one who wasn't for example.

Celerity

(43,039 posts)
14. I cannot see an an openly anti LGBTQ Dem winning a Senate seat again. There is only one left in the
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 11:02 AM
Oct 2021

House, the forced birther, Rethug supporting/fundraising for, pro-private prison, pro big oil, anti-Pelosi, anti Biden agenda, anti immigrant, almost 70% voting with Trump in the 115th Congress, conservative Henry Cuellar, who is in a safe Blue seat that has never elected a Rethug in its history. Cuellar needs to go, but we keep running candidates against him that are too far left. We need to run a moderate who actually belives in the Party platform, which Cuellar definitely does not.

blm

(112,996 posts)
15. Jackson would've beaten Tillis. Schumer screwed up
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 11:07 AM
Oct 2021

when he tapped Cunningham.

Jackson went into the meeting with his plan to campaign in every county and personally talk to everyone possible. That’s his MO from the first time he ran for anything. No PAC money, but he promised he can raise the money needed through small donations. Schumer didn’t bite and tapped Cunningham.

What NC needs from a Dem to win statewide is someone who can out-CAMPAIGN the Republican candidate and show mental agility as well as physical stamina. Jackson has that in spades. Schumer didn’t understand NC, imo.

ms liberty

(8,544 posts)
8. Jeff Jackson has already visited every county in the state
Mon Oct 11, 2021, 06:58 AM
Oct 2021

And is now going to all the college campuses. I've been keeping an eye on him for a very long time. I like him a lot.

Edited to add that I don't dislike Cheri Beasley. I just really like Jeff Jackson. I wanted him to run this last time but the party wanted Cal Cunningham, and look how well that turned out.

ChoppinBroccoli

(3,778 posts)
5. Ohio Will Likely Be Tim Ryan
Sun Oct 10, 2021, 10:44 PM
Oct 2021

Ryan is one of the few quality candidates we have in Ohio (the Ohio Democratic Party has been woeful at identifying and supporting up-and-coming talent, but Ryan seems to be a powerhouse). He's been a very strong Rep in a State that is slowly turning more red by the day, and he gained a lot of campaign experience in a short-lived run for President in 2020. He reminds me of Sherrod Brown in a lot of ways because he seems to have across-the-board appeal. If I were a betting man, I'd put money on Tim Ryan winning this seat. The Republicans are likely going to be running some woman who's only political experience is as a fund-raiser. I don't believe she's ever held elected office. She'll beat out the weenie Josh Mandel, mainly because she got the Trump stamp of approval.

blm

(112,996 posts)
18. You would never know Jackson raised more money by that article.
Tue Oct 12, 2021, 12:50 AM
Oct 2021

The writer takes every opportunity to diminish Jackson to the reader.

I like Beasley and supported her in the past. I also prefer energetic campaigners running smart campaigns and that is Jackson.

This article is written for one purpose, to get Jackson to move along and out of the way.

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