General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums“This is not good news for Mitt Romney,” (with up dated confirming data re SC)
Last edited Thu Jan 12, 2012, 07:14 PM - Edit history (2)
Edited to add that PPP is tweeting that SC Santorum supporters are leaving for Gingrich.
@Nate_Cohn SC voters are now dropping Santorum for Newt. Earlier polling had suggested the reverse.
If the latest polling is correct then Romney is in big trouble.
His lead in South Carolina is gone and he is running third place in North Carolina
http://chronicle.augusta.com/news/aiken/2012-01-11/sc-poll-mitt-romney-has-small-lead-over-newt-gingrich
As the GOP presidential nomination race settles into South Carolina, Mitt Romney isnt enjoying the double-digit lead he held in New Hampshire, according to a survey conducted Wednesday night.
The former Massachusetts governors lead is so small in the Palmetto State that hes essentially tied with Newt Gingrich, according to a poll conducted for The Augusta Chronicle by InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research.
Romneys 23 percent and Gingrichs 21 percent fall within the 3.6 percent margin of error. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who came in second in the Iowa caucuses is in third place in South Carolina with 14 percent, while Texas Congressman Ron Paul, the runner-up in New Hampshire, is effectively tied with him at 13 percent.
. . . .
This is not good news for Mitt Romney, said Towery, who chaired several of Gingrichs congressional campaigns before becoming a nonpartisan pollster. There is no other way to put it. This means it is a dead-even race. South Carolinians couldnt care less about New Hampshire or Iowa.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/11/nc-2012-primary-25-gingri_n_1199950.html
2012 President: Republican Primary
25% Gingrich
24% Santorum
22% Romney
9% Paul
4% Huntsman
4% Perry
1% Roemer
Given that Romney's only compelling argument is that he is inevitable and can win elections he will have to come up with something big if these polls are correct.
If they are correct they will prove my long standing prediction that this will not be decided during the pre convention period but will be decided at the convention, even though almost no one else thinks that this is even remotely possible. This civil war is going to go on and on and on.
FSogol
(45,440 posts)Willard to spend time and money fighting the other clowns.
arely staircase
(12,482 posts)leading to a big nasty convention battle. those convention battles never happen in modern times, but a nasty, months long bloodletting from these demons battling for control hell should be politically advantageous for the good guys (us) and just fun to watch.
City Lights
(25,171 posts)The longer it drags on, the better. May they all be battered and bruised (figuratively speaking) by the time it's over.
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)Personally I think a WWE cage match debate with all of the contenders would make for compelling television.
They could all try to fight there way to the top of a ladder where Rick Perry's coyote killin' handgun is hanging by a thread and the one to get it wins the nomination.
City Lights
(25,171 posts)Is that wrong?
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Ever notice how many people use 'literally' when they mean 'figuratively'?
"I mean did you see how fast that car was going, he was moving, literally at the speed of light", lol
jsmirman
(4,507 posts)"from your lips to G-d's ears" - with anyone and everyone being free to substitute the deity of their choice.
I *do* think there is some advantage to fighting through a primary in as many states as possible in terms of building organizational structure and momentum, but it would seem that the advantages would be outweighed by the disadvantages here.
Primary after Primary of them - at minimum, killing the candidacy of any potential nominee by the holding of feet to the fire and callings to the carpet for past stances, and at maximum, producing a *truly* unelectable candidate - I think I can get behind that.
Because I think the party is only so many steps away from internal collapse/implosion. The more time they get, the more failing support beams get kicked down in the melee.
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)The same hand wringing should be made for Willard Romney.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)riverwalker
(8,694 posts)Let them keep flinging poo at each other, by the time of the convention, the whole country will be disgusted with GOP.