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Tomconroy

(7,611 posts)
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 07:51 PM Jan 2022

'NYC seems to have peaked'.


?s=20

Dr. Forman holds three academic positions at Yale and also is head of radiology in the ER in the local hospital. He isn't the only one saying this.

This actually pretty much tracks South Africa and London. A peak after four weeks.
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mahatmakanejeeves

(58,836 posts)
2. Thanks, but I'll do my own research, "Radiology 4 Dummies." NT
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 07:53 PM
Jan 2022


The Three Stooges in "Dizzy Doctors"

Source: The Encyclopedia Britannica. Can you believe it?

https://www.britannica.com/topic/the-Three-Stooges
 

Tomconroy

(7,611 posts)
3. I used to do my own research in the stock market. After losing
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 07:56 PM
Jan 2022

a bunch of money I now just do index funds.😀

Pinback

(12,363 posts)
4. Neat - A radiologist, just like Scott Atlas!
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 07:59 PM
Jan 2022

I'm sure Dr. Forman is more reliable than Atlas, but I think I'll look to epidemiologists for guidance on COVID-19, just the same.

 

Tomconroy

(7,611 posts)
6. Actually he's a professor of Public Health at three different
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 08:02 PM
Jan 2022

graduate schools at Yale.
But I wish you well.

Pinback

(12,363 posts)
11. Yeah, I looked up his CV before posting.
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 08:19 PM
Jan 2022

He works in the Yale School of Management, and is a professor of radiology, economics, public health, and management. So, sure, he’s got more on the ball than Scott Atlas, for example.

I still would rather hear from epidemiologists — such as Mike Osterholm, Celine Gounder, Peter Hotez, or Anthony Fauci.

Raftergirl

(1,332 posts)
7. Many modelers were saying last week
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 08:08 PM
Jan 2022

that NYC was likely going to peaks this week.


It makes sense as our cases starting going up before many other places in US.

 

Tomconroy

(7,611 posts)
10. Yes..It was predicted. Looks like the east and west coasts were
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 08:13 PM
Jan 2022

The first to get hit and then it will move inland. Dr. Forman predicted CT will peak next week, which is of interest to me.

Raftergirl

(1,332 posts)
12. Cases in my county (Albany) have come down significantly from late last week when we had
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 09:08 PM
Jan 2022

1000 and then steadily declining to where cases over the last 24 hours were 300.

Hospitalizations are up.

It’s still, as has been the case always, that it’s the unvaccinated who are getting hospitalized.

Of course, it’s likely not counting most rapid tests done at home, even though county has set up a website to report home test results.

Scrivener7

(51,481 posts)
13. Yes. I wager there are many, many more cases than we are hearing of, but
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 09:10 PM
Jan 2022

hopefully that proportion of reported to not reported is staying the same over time.

Raftergirl

(1,332 posts)
15. Likely.
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 09:27 PM
Jan 2022

Cases in all the US were reported to be 1 million a day today, but the real number is likely closer to 2 million cases a day.

 

Tomconroy

(7,611 posts)
14. In SA hospitalizations kept increasing for three weeks after
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 09:24 PM
Jan 2022

their cases peaked. They just began to drop significantly yesterday.

Raftergirl

(1,332 posts)
16. And their hospitalizations never got very high
Tue Jan 4, 2022, 09:33 PM
Jan 2022

And numbers on vents or even supplemental oxygen have remained low.

We still have some Delta in the US, also. And a very high percentage of people with comorbitities, like obesity, while SA doesn’t have nearly as many.

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