Persistant optimistic forecast
I post these everyday on twitter. The model has had evolving forecasts for over a month, from bad to cautiously optimistic now. This model predicted the first two waves 4+months in advance. Omicron was tough though, but the last 10 days has been persistently predicting a good outcome by the end of May. No time to stop being diligent of course. I am in the process of running this for the northern hemisphere. I don't think I will be able to use 21 ensemble members, this will eat up a TB a day if I do. As soon as the tests are finish I will also post the hemisphere forecasts. The idea of one peak is silly, it varies regionally and locally. Most of the country has/will peak in the next couple weeks (it will be pretty rough). Its large cities like NYC and LA that are really going to have a battle on their hands for a couple months. Hope this brightens your outlook on the pandemic.
Link to tweet
?s=20
Take care,
Joe
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