New KY-SEN poll (Mason-Dixon): Booker -16

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

I meet with Booker last year; he's appealing, but like Amy McGrath in 2020, I don't see a Democratic candidate being competitive in Kentucky.

https://charlesbooker.org

[JanMichael]

1. How much was spent on the McGrath loss last time? $88,000,000?

These tilting windmill races started going nuts in 2018.

[AZSkiffyGeek]

3. Don't you know, it was rigged!

Despite McGrath trailing by double digits, McConnell had to rig the results to win. /s

[madville]

2. Pretty much in line with the 2020 numbers

McConnell beat McGrath 58-38% so Paul can probably expect a similar outcome.

[krawhitham]

14. Mason-Dixon had mitch +9 before the election

[madville]

16. I meant this polling compared to the final 2020 results

I expect the polling to be off a few points in the Democrat’s favor, since enthusiasm and motivation for the party in power are typically less in an actual midterm turnout.

[bearsfootball516]

4. He may do a couple points better than McGrath but thinking he has a shot of winning is dreaming.

I think he's great, but I hope people don't pour a bunch of money into a race that's not going to be close.

[krawhitham]

15. He's on pace to do a lot worse than McGrath

[kentuck]

5. How do we explain the present Governor of Kentucky winning his race?

He wasn't connected to the Democrats in Washington.

He didn't have a $100 million dollars.

He was a virtual unknown.

But, he still won.

Is the answer in the question?

[hatrack]

6. His father was governor from 2007 to 2015 . . .

That probably helped.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Beshear

[onenote]

8. This may help explain it as well:

Bevin was the least popular governor in the United States, with only a 33% approval rating in April 2019.

[Music Man]

9. Was just about to say.

Particularly, Bevin picked a fight with the teachers, and it backfired.

Keep in mind that Beshear won by only a few thousand votes, though. Thank goodness those folks got to the polls. I can only imagine going through the pandemic here in Kentucky with both Trump and Bevin at the helm.

[kentuck]

10. But that was about the same approval rating that Mitch McConnell had before his race...

..with Amy McGrath.

I think Kentuckians do not want much to do with Democrats that are too close to the Democrats in Washington, such as Schumer, Pelosi, and Biden. They prefer someone outside the present political circles. Just my opinion.

[dsc]

11. Because Bevin actually tried to take health care away from them

and they decided all of the sudden that socialism was just fine and dandy.

[madville]

17. They have off year elections

Turn out is lower than presidential years and even the midterms. In 2019 he got lucky the incumbent was very unpopular and even then still barely won. I would maybe expect it to go back Republican in 2023, but he still has a 54% approval rating, a tossup would be a safe bet this far out.

[Deep State Witch]

7. I Wish He'd Run

Last edited Fri Jan 28, 2022, 12:52 PM - Edit history (2)

I wish that Beshear would run for KY Senate. He'd be awesome.

Let's face it - there's a large segment of the population in KY who aren't going to vote for a POC. Ever.

[TexasTowelie]

12. I'm usually not too picky about spelling,

but you might want to edit your post to correct the governor's name.

[Deep State Witch]

13. Thanks.