Covid in Connecticut

[Tomconroy]

On May 16 the 7 day average for new cases was 2739 per the NY Times. On May 27 the number was 1264.
There have been significant drops in the other Northeast states but not as large as in CT.

[essaynnc]

1. Its tough to say....

With home test kits being so prevalent, and no guarantees of reporting positive cases, many think the actual number of cases is way up...

I am an example; tested Tuesday, positive, but there is no requirement to self report. of course, I'm still quarantined.....

[Doc Sportello]

2. But we've had home test kits for months now

This drop came in just nine days. I don't think home kits explain the drop in numbers.

[targetpractice]

3. Test positivity rate was 11.83% yesterday...

... Down from over 13% a week ago.

CT still reports test positivity rates, but doesn't factor in home tests that go unreported.

[progree]

4. Here's the New York Times link

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/connecticut-covid-cases.html
No paywall, no quota.

The "last 90 days" button at the top left of each graph or set of graphs is very helpful.

[Blues Heron]

5. CDC shows a drop but not as big- 1898 down to 1404

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases

Still great news though. N.Y. seems to have plateaued as well.

I wonder why the huge discrepancy between the cdc and the nyt.

[progree]

7. An enormous mega-difference between the number of cases reported on May 16

for whatever reason (these are actual new cases for the day, not 7 day averages, but of course they affect the 7 day averages):

May 16
CDC: 1,851 cases
NYT: 10,473 cases

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/connecticut-covid-cases.html

[Blues Heron]

8. must have been a backlog dump which the NYT (and Worldometers) neglected to backfill

Thats my theory anyway

[Tetrachloride]

6. Schools and markets have more outdoor activities

Other factors include:

1. how many do not an updated booster
2. airline and restaurant protocols
3. future variants

Statistics might be portrayed as 3-4-5 D instead of 2-D.