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Demovictory9

(32,443 posts)
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 03:24 AM Sep 2022

Abortion ruling has put these 5 California House races in play..seats held by republicans



Abortion ruling has put these 5 California House races in play
The Roe ruling and an abortion ballot measure are expected to drive turnout in the state.

OAKLAND, Calif. — Control of the House will be decided by a handful of races around the nation, and California alone has at least five whose outcome may hinge on a single issue: abortion.

The Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade has made Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s home state the place that may ultimately decide whether she continues to swing the House gavel in January — or gives a native son, Kevin McCarthy, a shot at the job.

Support for abortion rights is strong in California, where the Democrats who dominate state government have placed an initiative on the ballot to enshrine access in the state constitution. Prop 1, as it’s known, has support from 69 percent of likely voters.


That’s expected to drive supporters of abortion rights to the polls in a way that will likely hurt GOP candidates in the tighter races, such as those held by Republican incumbents Rep. Mike Garcia in the suburbs at the northern edge of LA and Rep. Ken Calvert, who now must face voters in Palm Springs because of redistricting.

Republican candidates in areas with significant numbers of college-educated voters will be in the most trouble unless they can change the subject to something else, perhaps immigration, says GOP strategist Mike Madrid. “There’s no good answer to abortion,” he said. “On the face of it, when Republicans are talking about the issue, they’re losing.”

Here’s a look at five races to watch:

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/09/18/california-abortion-house-roe-00057023
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Abortion ruling has put these 5 California House races in play..seats held by republicans (Original Post) Demovictory9 Sep 2022 OP
Sounds like a call to action in CA. usonian Sep 2022 #1
Not included is Karie Porter vs Scott Baugh. SleeplessinSoCal Sep 2022 #2
I'm surprised that Katie hasn't pointed that out .... LenaBaby61 Sep 2022 #5
He's the latest iteration of Dana Rohrabacher. SleeplessinSoCal Sep 2022 #11
Baugh is an old school orange county republican hack The_Casual_Observer Sep 2022 #10
Battle cry of this election: Roe your vote, up and down the ballot! Hermit-The-Prog Sep 2022 #3
I would think that Young Kim would have problems as well rpannier Sep 2022 #4
Dems Should Flip Calvert and Garcia's Seats Indykatie Sep 2022 #6
I'm really hoping Garcia is gone. Simi Valley was moved to kysrsoze Sep 2022 #7
Doing what I can! kimmylavin Sep 2022 #12
Ken Calvert?? The guy caught 'in flagrante' with a prostitute in his car? Grins Sep 2022 #8
He was in my HS graduating class. BadgerMom Sep 2022 #9

usonian

(9,743 posts)
1. Sounds like a call to action in CA.
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 03:38 AM
Sep 2022

I'll be finding ways to help win house seats, and spreading the word.

SleeplessinSoCal

(9,107 posts)
2. Not included is Karie Porter vs Scott Baugh.
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 04:43 AM
Sep 2022

New district that we're in. Wall to wall negative ads from Baugh stating Porter as "clueless" on the economy.

"Porter later attended Harvard Law School, where she was the notes editor for the Harvard Women's Law Journal and a member of the Board of Student Advisers. She studied under bankruptcy law professor and future U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren, and graduated magna cum laude with her Juris Doctor in 2001."

Her ads only talk about reversal of Roe. He graduated from Liberty University - Falwell's outfit. Wish she'd point that out in her ads.

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
5. I'm surprised that Katie hasn't pointed that out ....
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 07:27 AM
Sep 2022

It's not like she doesn't have a lot to work with. Baugh's from Redding, and that place is mostly tRumpville and QAnon head quarters rolled into one.

That guy's a damn clown, reich-winged fool and a tRumper on top of all of that.

SleeplessinSoCal

(9,107 posts)
11. He's the latest iteration of Dana Rohrabacher.
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 04:20 PM
Sep 2022

And the OC GOP hasn't changed in the past 7 years. The race us bound to turn on turnout.

I wish Dems would make clear to voters that people like Falwell have been a disaster for the country. There are fewer Christians in the US because of their movement towards a Christianist society. And they don't care about the economy or Climate Change.

 

The_Casual_Observer

(27,742 posts)
10. Baugh is an old school orange county republican hack
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 01:46 PM
Sep 2022

It will be close of course because of all the assholes, but Katie will win.

Hermit-The-Prog

(33,307 posts)
3. Battle cry of this election: Roe your vote, up and down the ballot!
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 05:20 AM
Sep 2022

Roe, Roe, Roe your vote
against theocracy!
Republicans revoke your rights
and kill democracy!

Donate to 38 House candidates: https://www.democraticunderground.com/100217067267
Stick 'em up for a blue wave: https://www.democraticunderground.com/100217078977

Indykatie

(3,695 posts)
6. Dems Should Flip Calvert and Garcia's Seats
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 09:19 AM
Sep 2022

Biden won 55% of Garcia's district and Trump won Calvert's district but only by 1 point. I didn't check the other 3 CA districts because I didn't want to go to Politico's site to read the full article.

kysrsoze

(6,019 posts)
7. I'm really hoping Garcia is gone. Simi Valley was moved to
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 10:34 AM
Sep 2022

another district that can safely absorb it, so this and fury over his continued support of Dump and the Dobbs decision SHOULD make for a Christy Smith win. It was a razor thin margin last time, like it is every 2 years in this district.

kimmylavin

(2,284 posts)
12. Doing what I can!
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 05:19 PM
Sep 2022

Garcia's my district.
I'm a little blue dot in my little red town, but I think the rest of the district will oust this useless guy...

Grins

(7,203 posts)
8. Ken Calvert?? The guy caught 'in flagrante' with a prostitute in his car?
Mon Sep 19, 2022, 12:20 PM
Sep 2022

That was 29 YEARS ago! And he’s still around?

Those Republican “Traditional Family Values” never get old.

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