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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRaphael Warnock has a 5-point lead over Herschel Walker in high-stakes Georgia Senate contest, while
Brian Kemp is ahead 6 points against Stacey Abrams in the governor's raceDemocratic Sen. Raphael Warnock of Georgia holds a five-point lead over Republican challenger Herschel Walker in the state's high-stakes Senate race, according to a new Marist Poll.
The survey showed Warnock with 47% support among registered voters in the Peach State, while Walker garnered 42% support and Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver sat at 4%; seven percent of respondents were undecided.
In the poll, a near-unanimous 94% of Democrats backed Warnock, while the senator peeled off 10% of Republicans and held a nine-point lead over Walker among independents (45%-36%).
Warnock performed strongly in the Atlanta metropolitan area; in the Atlanta suburbs, he edged out Walker by three-percentage points (47%-44%).
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/raphael-warnock-has-a-5-point-lead-over-herschel-walker-in-high-stakes-georgia-senate-contest-while-brian-kemp-is-ahead-6-points-against-stacey-abrams-in-the-governor-s-race-poll/ar-AA12cmSC
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Raphael Warnock has a 5-point lead over Herschel Walker in high-stakes Georgia Senate contest, while (Original Post)
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin
Sep 2022
OP
IF these numbers are accurate, the internals are potentially troublesome for Abrams
Celerity
Sep 2022
#4
Wounded Bear
(58,645 posts)1. Should be 15-20% but I'll take it for now...
The longer Walker stays out in the public eye, the more his idiocy is exposed.
JohnSJ
(92,131 posts)2. I hope Stacy Abrams pushes the anti-abortion, anti-women position of kemp
SoCalDavidS
(9,998 posts)3. Stacey & Beto Need To Find New States nt
Celerity
(43,302 posts)4. IF these numbers are accurate, the internals are potentially troublesome for Abrams
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Marist-Poll_GA-NOS-and-Tables_202209161712.pdf
Only a net +64 amongst black voters in terms of voting for her (and only 6% undecided, so not a lot of reserve pooling to draw an increase from), and only a net +60 in terms of approval (15% undecided, so more room for possible growth there).
Those numbers my well need to be north of +70, +75 for her to have a better chance.
That cleavage may well come from black males and misogyny.
I have seen multiple panels and interviews that show some black males who are supporters of Warnock but also have issues with voting for a female (with the buybull/gawwd mentioned by some as the reason, ffs).
Only a net +64 amongst black voters in terms of voting for her (and only 6% undecided, so not a lot of reserve pooling to draw an increase from), and only a net +60 in terms of approval (15% undecided, so more room for possible growth there).
Those numbers my well need to be north of +70, +75 for her to have a better chance.
That cleavage may well come from black males and misogyny.
I have seen multiple panels and interviews that show some black males who are supporters of Warnock but also have issues with voting for a female (with the buybull/gawwd mentioned by some as the reason, ffs).
Bucky
(53,997 posts)5. My reaction is exactly halfway between gratitude and "WTF?!?!"