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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe Hill: Projected Republican House majority narrows: CBS model
The networks model, managed alongside YouGov, continues to predict Republicans will flip Democrats razor-thin majority in the House, but CBS now estimates Republicans will win 223 seats, down from 226 in August and 230 in July.
The sitting presidents party typically loses seats in the midterm elections, a stark reality for Democrats, who barely hold a majority with 221 seats. Either party needs to win a total of 218 seats to take the House majority.
Republicans have long been predicted to retake the House in the midterms, an expectation that grew as inflation rose to a 40-year high and President Bidens approval rating ticked down.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3660163-projected-republican-house-majority-narrows-cbs-model/
Response to brooklynite (Original post)
karynnj This message was self-deleted by its author.
karynnj
(59,474 posts)Have a good chance to keep the majority. Yes, I know 538 gives us just a 30 percent chance.
ColinC
(8,227 posts)And it is increasing daily. Remember, Trump had about a 30% chance to win. Undecideds will split toward the party with the momentum.
karynnj
(59,474 posts)Demovictory9
(32,320 posts)Elessar Zappa
(13,649 posts)Donate, volunteer, and most important, VOTE!
Deminpenn
(15,246 posts)targeting PA-17 which is the northern half of Allegheny county indicates they are lot more worried about winning the House than they are letting on.
DemocraticPatriot
(4,170 posts)threatened with defeat by the GOP candidate in polls all year, in a new district which is calculated to be "+2 Trump".
(Michigan CD-7)
HOWEVER.... a recent poll now shows her with a 16 point lead over GOP State Senator Tom Barrett, 56-38% !!!!
https://deadlinedetroit.com/articles/31227/poll_dems_slotkin_has_commanding_lead_over_gop_s_barrett_in_michigan_s_7th_congressional_race_abortion_a_factor
I am mighty relieved by this news... and I am inclined to believe that the GOP could be in for a big surprise on the House side, come November... in other "swing districts" as well as this one.
On the airwaves here, we have been pounded by advertising by both sides in the past 2 weeks, plus the DCCC and RCCC and possibly other players, over this race... but Tom Barrett seems to be running the least ads of anyone. The RCCC has been running a lot of negative ads, but they seem pretty stupid to me. ("Rep. Slotkin has voted 100% with Joe Biden, OMGGG!" lol
(These ads are all on broadcast TV, I don't have cable.)