Ian Satellite loop from the NOAA website. WOW. (Updated with new image)

[A HERETIC I AM]

Last edited Wed Sep 28, 2022, 05:07 PM - Edit history (2)

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/floater.php?stormid=AL092022#navLink

An explosion of T-storms over the south eastern coast, from Miami up through WPB early this morning spawned a Tornado that went through a GA Airport in Pembroke Pines;





I'm in Jacksonville and the Weather Channel app says winds no higher than about 27 MPH through Thursday, so once again, Jax may dodge a bullet.

I lived in Fort Myers from '06 though '09 and Port Charlotte for a couple years after that, so my thoughts are with those residents in Lee and Charlotte Counties tonight and tomorrow.

To all the fellow DU'ers in the path of this storm, stay safe.

[Historic NY]

1. My niece and sister in law might have lucked out

they are in Largo and ST Petersburg.

[ultralite001]

2. Y'all be careful out there...

The minimum central pressure was 953 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.

Still plenty of time for the wind up...


That is all...

[crickets]

3. Good grief, that is a nightmare.

Everyone in FL be safe.

[SergeStorms]

4. Looks like it's having an eye-wall replacement....

which is not a good thing at this point. The storm will weaken slightly while this is going on, but the new eye-wall will intesify the hurricane right before landfall. It will probably have 12-16 hours to intensify over some very warm water.

Whatever happens is not going to be good. It's a massive, slow moving storm that will slow down even more after landfall.

I think it will make a right-hand turn into the Port Charlotte/Fort Myers area. Tampa/Sarasota will be spared a direct hit, but will still suffer extreme damage from water: both storm surge and rainfall, and 75 - 100 mph. winds.

That's my best guess anyway, but there will be enough widespread damage to keep people busy for the next 8 - 12 months. Depending on how many people evacuated, there will still be loss of life. Hopefully it's minimal, but people being people, it could reach 50 -100 souls lost.

[Rhiannon12866]

5. Wow! Is right!

I ran into a former coworker today who said that he now spends winters in Florida. I said that I wouldn't recommend going now and he said they're waiting until January! And I also heard on the news that Cuba's entire power grid is down.

[A HERETIC I AM]

6. Yes, I saw that report on Cuba as well.

Here's that story from Yahoo;

https://www.yahoo.com/news/cuba-dark-hurricane-knocks-power-040120806.html

If your friend is going to wait till January, that's pretty late in the season! For most of the "Snowbirds" the signal to head south is usually the first hard freeze! I've met people who say they pack up and come down the first time frost is on their grass up north!

[Rhiannon12866]

7. Well, I happen to know that he has three kids, so probably wants to wait until after Christmas

But I also know another lady who's a longtime snowbird - and I worried about her a couple of years ago when Covid was raging there, so I'm betting that she's postponed her departure too.

And thanks for the news story - I cringed when I first heard it. My heart goes out to anyone currently in Ian's path. Here in the North, people talk about Sandy, but we only got horizontal rain from that, the one which devastated my part of Northeastern New York and nearby Vermont was Hurricane Irene. And it was more than longtime power outages, there was a lot of destruction and some loss of life.

[BumRushDaShow]

8. Ian Doppler from KTBW

[kentuck]

9. Will it blow over Florida and continue as a hurricane?

As it did with Cuba?

[Johnny2X2X]

10. It has strengthened

Sustained wins of 155 mph as of a couple hours ago, 2 mph away from CAT 5.

This is going to be really bad.

[lindysalsagal]

11. FLA DU'ers. Please find a safe place!

[Swede]

12. This website has some live graphics of the storm.

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-82.90,26.79,2110/loc=-80.420,32.159

[A HERETIC I AM]

13. Kicked for new image.