Pennsylvania Senate Race Narrows

[applegrove]

Pennsylvania Senate Race Narrows

September 28, 2022 at 10:47 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 19 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2022/09/28/pennsylvania-senate-race-narrows/

"SNIP......

A new Fox News poll in Pennsylvania finds John Fetterman (D) leading Mehmet Oz (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 45% to 41%.

......SNIP"

[JohnSJ]

1. Not surprised, which is why turnout is critical

[applegrove]

2. It is a Fox poll. So there is that too.

[JohnSJ]

4. Fox is an accurate pollster. They are not the same as their propaganda network. That Fetterman

is leading is a good thing, and why turnout will bring us out on top

I believe we control the large population areas

[ColinC]

3. What do the crosstabs say about women voters?

[applegrove]

5. Here it is.

I don't usually link to Fox but here ya go:

https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-pennsylvania-senate-race-narrows

"SNIP......

Overall, more Democrats support Fetterman (87%) than Republicans go for Oz (83%) — largely because GOP women (80%) are less supportive than GOP men (86%). Among Republicans, by a 17-point margin, more of those who support the MAGA movement (92%) back Oz than those who consider themselves everyday GOPers (75%).

Fetterman is up by 18 points among women, 23 points among voters under age 45, 6 points among suburban voters and 4 points among independents. Oz is ahead by 11 points among men, 15 points among White men without a college degree and 4 points among voters 45 and over. 

......SNIP"

[ColinC]

8. I mean, what percentage of women were included in the poll?

Most have less than 52, but far more than 52 is likely to turnout...

[applegrove]

9. Oh. I get you now.

[JoeOtterbein]

6. As a PA voter, I know I...

...like polls where we are ahead. Never, ever, want to be behind!

[DarthDem]

7. It's not narrowing

Fetterman is going to win easily. This is the time when pollsters start trying to drive a horserace narrative. Not happening in PA.

[PSPS]

10. Complacency breeds not bothering to vote. It's important to vote even if your candidate is way ahead

[SoCalDavidS]

11. I Can Never Understand This

What the fuck is so difficult about taking 30-60 minutes out of your life every couple of years, to vote?

I don't care if I hear that the candidate I support is ahead by 20 points. I'll cast my vote, and help them win by a 21% margin.

[DarthDem]

15. No S**t

Nt

[PortTack]

12. Not being complacent at all but just saw a poll earlier this week that had Fetterman up by double

Digits. Cook political once said something has to happen for a big shift in the polls to happen…it’s crickets out there. Not buying it.

On edit here it is from 2 days ago: and Newsweek has definitely gone to the right

https://www.newsweek.com/john-fetterman-whipping-dr-oz-senate-race-double-digit-lead-poll-1746518

[SlimJimmy]

13. Not surprising.

The polls always tighten as the election gets closer. Fetterman is still in a position to win.

[DFW]

14. What happened? Did Oz get laryngitis?

Or did he actually decide to spend some time in Pennsylvania?