KY Gov. Andy Beshear (D) with an eye-popping 74% favorable rating!

[Wanderlust988]

And a 62% overall approval rating. This are unheard numbers in any state, especially in the political environment in this country. I'm not sure any politician in the entire country has that high of a favorable rating.

I don't have a link cause they just had it on the local newscast...a new poll.

[ColinC]

1. Hopefully Booker is using him on the campaign trail!

[Polybius]

5. Booker has no chance, and is at 1% chance of winning at 538

I don't think it would help if he campaigned with Jesus.

[ColinC]

6. 1% is certainly a lot more than no chance!

With a month to go, it can certainly improve. Interesting how no polls have been released since January

[Polybius]

7. Well, it could improve to 2%, but there's no sense in getting false hope

His chance of winning (1%) is the same as Alex Padilla and Chuck Schumer's chances of losing their Senate seats. Might as well focus on real chance pickups, such as PA, OH, WI, NC, and maybe even FL.

[ColinC]

8. It could improve to 99%. Nobody actually knows.

Fivethirtyeight bases their projections on things like polling, fundraising and the political lean of the state. It takes in no consideration of the likelihood of a wave election, flawed polling methodologies understating key groups, or the ground game (which likely contributed heavily to the 2020 results).

Truth is, if this is a wave election, Kentucky could very possibly be swept in that wave. And the truth is nobody actually knows how likely or not that will happen -and based on the special elections, I really don't think you can count too many seeming longshots entirely out until all the votes are counted.

[Polybius]

9. Only if Paul is found with a live boy or dead girl

Even then I'm not so sure. I guess I'm just not an "any race is winnable" kind of guy. I'm a huge realist. Consider this: No one with with a 99% chance of winning has ever lost. I usually donate to candidates in tight races, but that's just me.

How do you feel about Will Boyd in Alabama? I really like him, but he has no chance. He's up against MAGA election denier Katie Britt.

[ColinC]

10. I know more about Booker than Boyd

I know Booker has built a pretty solid organization for the last few years -along with a strong ground game. Folks like to underestimate the ground game, but it makes or breaks elections -even for terrible or underfunded candidates.

[Ritabert]

2. He looks much better than predecessor Bevins

[JohnSJ]

3. Gosh it would be so nice if rand Paul had his racist ass sent home

[FakeNoose]

4. Gov. Beshear has done well in his first term

I'm not surprised to hear that he's expected to be re-elected.

You know what's really awesome? Beshear's 2nd term will end just in time for him to run for McConnell's Senate seat in 2026. McConnell has already announced he won't run again, so this one is up for grabs!

[Norbert]

11. Love to see him run in 2028, or 2024 if Biden should opt out.