General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsGlobal growth "smoothly" downshifting
from ?Reuters..
(Reuters) - Walk softly. Global growth looks to be smoothly downshifting as China slows, the U.S. economy firms, and troubled Europe, at least for now, avoids a messy crash.
Ratings downgrades on nine euro zone countries by Standard & Poor's late Friday - including France, Italy and Spain - sent a shiver through financial markets. But the move was long telegraphed, likely limiting any spillover.
A global economy slowing only gently would be an immense relief after a fraught end to 2011, but it is far from guaranteed.
Greek debt talks could collapse next week in a tussle over the size of losses banks should face. Tensions over Iran's nuclear program continue to threaten oil markets. And U.S. data last week showed surprisingly weak retail sales and a rise in jobless claims, a reminder that the U.S. recovery is not yet out of the woods.
more: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-harbinger-global-slowdown-200245103.html
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A smooth downshifting is the best case scenario given the potential for a severe abrupt global economic meltdown.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Global growth smoothly downshifting?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)I think the term "smoothly downshifting" is appropriate.
Zalatix
(8,994 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)I could list off about a dozen plausible scenarios of global catastrophe but I prefer to be more optimistic and believe we can work this mess out eventually.
Zalatix
(8,994 posts)Of course, Deus Ex Machina could always happen. The GOP could lose both houses by giant margins in 2012 to liberal democrats and not Corporate stooges. If that happens then this economy MIGHT be salvageable.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)But its not easy changing course in a tempest.
girl gone mad
(20,634 posts)We haven't just been kicking the can since 2008. Our banks are totally solvent. Our middle class is thriving. It's all better now, nothing to see here. Austerity is working. "Shared sacrifice" is brilliant economic strategy. Recovery green shoots for everyone, everywhere.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)during the past three years.. and mocking those of us who have correctly predicted it was not going to happen.
girl gone mad
(20,634 posts)lingering high unemployment, housing market malaise, global sovereign debt crises, a breakdown in the EMU, potential rejection of the Euro, erosion of the American middle class, worldwide unrest caused by maldistribution of wealth and commodities inflation, the TBTF insolvencies, regulatory capture, the increasingly bloated criminal financial sector, an unrelenting private debt crisis and the spectacularly disastrous failure of the neoliberal agenda...
Yes, many of us outlined the plethora of mistakes and foolish policy decisions which led us toward this inevitable outcome.
I'm sure you'd love to rewrite history and say no one possibly could have seen any of it coming. Of course, when we did, you laughed and called us "gloom and doomers", etc.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)We have huge underlying problems in this country that have been with us for a long time. Eventually it will become a real disaster if we dont deal with them in a serious manner. But at the moment the goal is just keep the ship afloat. The President has done a good job of that in spite of those who have fought him every step of the way and in spite of those who keep claiming its all going to collapse.
Zalatix
(8,994 posts)bhikkhu
(10,711 posts)...Wendell Berry said that.
customerserviceguy
(25,183 posts)And thank goodness, I do. I do recognize that a return to managed growth is essential to have a full employment economy. I truly hope we're on the road to that, and do not turn to the Republicons for the way out of the craphole that they have led us into.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)My comment was more meant from a an overall global perspective.