Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:00 PM

Claustrum (4,460 posts)

Ralston just said there are 61k votes in the drop boxes mentioned earlier today for NV

So there will be roughly 145k more votes. Ralston said the democratic party wanted it to be in the 100k+ range from the drop boxes. So we are probably a bit short. It will be a close one depending on the mail in ballots that will be coming in throughout the week.

Also, as
@s_golonka
reminds me, there are 4K more that went into Washoe today, so the total is 61K there and 145K overall.

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7 replies	Author	Time	Post
Ralston just said there are 61k votes in the drop boxes mentioned earlier today for NV (Original post)	Claustrum	Nov 2022	OP
So about 85k from Clark.	triron	Nov 2022	#1
Yes. I've heard of the 100k number being thrown around from a few people before.	Claustrum	Nov 2022	#2
Assuming the votes there break 2-1 for masto	triron	Nov 2022	#3
Right. I think we are in the really close territory depending on the ratio of those votes.	Claustrum	Nov 2022	#4
Nice. The new NV batch actually came in for better than 2/1 according to MSNBC.	Claustrum	Nov 2022	#5
How much better?	triron	Nov 2022	#6
65/30	Claustrum	Nov 2022	#7

Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:32 PM

triron (21,037 posts)

1. So about 85k from Clark.

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Response to triron (Reply #1)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:35 PM

Claustrum (4,460 posts)

2. Yes. I've heard of the 100k number being thrown around from a few people before.

So we are about 15k short from their "goal".

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Response to Claustrum (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:54 PM

triron (21,037 posts)

3. Assuming the votes there break 2-1 for masto

And the vote from Washoe is split, masto takes the lead.

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Response to triron (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:57 PM

Claustrum (4,460 posts)

4. Right. I think we are in the really close territory depending on the ratio of those votes.

They wanted 100k+ so they get more of a buffer. This probably means that we have to wait till all votes are counted to get the result because they are so close.

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Response to triron (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 09:59 PM

Claustrum (4,460 posts)

5. Nice. The new NV batch actually came in for better than 2/1 according to MSNBC.

So we are at least on track in NV.

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Response to Claustrum (Reply #5)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 10:13 PM

triron (21,037 posts)

6. How much better?

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Response to triron (Reply #6)

Wed Nov 9, 2022, 10:15 PM

Claustrum (4,460 posts)

7. 65/30

First Clark dump of only 14K new ballots and CCM reduces statewide deficit to 18K.

Ds have to love first dump, gaining 5K out of first 14K ballots, with 65 percent to 30 percent spread.

That's first 14K of 84K in Clark.

If margins continue like that, she will be ahead.

IF.

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