General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhich party won your state in the 2020 presidential election
and by how much?
For purposes of this poll, the EC has been simplified as follows: Maine and Nebraska have each been changed to winnertakeall with 4 and 5 EV respectively, and DC is considered to be a state.
Percentages have been grouped as follows in an attempt to distribute EV as evenly as possible among the categories:
1. Dem win by 03%  6 states, 79 EV
2. Dem win by 416%  8 states, 66 EV
3. Dem win by 1723%  6 states, 75 EV
4. Dem win by 24% or more  6 states, 86 EV
5. Rep win by 03%  2 states, 44 EV
6. Rep win by 411%  4 states, 65 EV
7. Rep win by 1222%  9 states, 64 EV
8. Rep win by 23% or more  10 states, 59 EV
AL  Rep 25.5%  choice 8
AK  Rep 10.1%  choice 6
AZ  Dem 0.3%  choice 1
AR  Rep 27.6%  choice 8
CA  Dem 29.2%  choice 4
CO  Dem 13.5%  choice 2
CT  Dem 20.1%  choice 3
DE  Dem 19.0%  choice 3
DC  Dem 86.8%  choice 4
FL  Rep 3.4%  choice 5
GA  Dem 0.2%  choice 1
HI  Dem 29.5%  choice 4
ID  Rep 30.8%  choice 8
IL  Dem 17.0%  choice 3
IN  Rep 16.1%  choice 7
IA  Rep 8.2%  choice 6
KS  Rep 14.6%  choice 7
KY  Rep 25.9%  choice 8
LA  Rep 18.6%  choice 7
ME  Dem 9.1%  choice 2
MD  Dem 33.2%  choice 4
MA  Dem 33.5%  choice 4
MI  Dem 2.8%  choice 1
MN  Dem 7.1%  choice 2
MS  Rep 16.6%  choice 7
MO  Rep 15.4%  choice 7
MT  Rep 16.4%  choice 7
NE  Rep 19.1%  choice 7
NV  Dem 2.4%  choice 1
NH  Dem 7.4%  choice 2
NJ  Dem 15.9%  choice 2
NM  Dem 10.8%  choice 2
NY  Dem 23.1%  choice 3
NC  Rep 1.4%  choice 5
ND  Rep 33.3%  choice 8
OH  Rep 8.0%  choice 6
OK  Rep 33.1%  choice 8
OR  Dem 16.1%  choice 2
PA  Dem 1.2%  choice 1
RI  Dem 20.8%  choice 3
SC  Rep 11.7%  choice 7
SD  Rep 26.2%  choice 8
TN  Rep 23.2%  choice 8
TX  Rep 5.6%  choice 6
UT  Rep 20.5%  choice 7
VT  Dem 35.4%  choice 4
VA  Dem 10.1%  choice 2
WA  Dem 19.2%  choice 3
WV  Rep 38.9%  choice 8
WI  Dem 0.6%  choice 1
WY  Rep 43.4%  choice 8
Source: Wikipedia since this isn't a scientific poll
Purpose of the poll is to satisfy my curiosity! (I am not a cat, so hopefully it will be safe.)
106 votes, 0 passes  Time left: Unlimited  
Dem  03%  
13 (12%) 

Dem  416%  
21 (20%) 

Dem  1723%  
19 (18%) 

Dem  24% +  
18 (17%) 

Rep  03%  
7 (7%) 

Rep  411%  
13 (12%) 

Rep  1222%  
7 (7%) 

Rep  23% +  
8 (8%) 

0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.  
Show usernames
Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll 
Bev54
(11,911 posts)BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)I'm fully aware that it's a new race.. Just curious to see how many we have from tossup states, leaners, and safe red or blue. Certainly not attempting to predict 2024 results based on 2020 results.
Zambero
(9,722 posts)Putting me on the " minority".
dsc
(52,595 posts)for what is likely to happen this time. It also provides benchmarks for us to look at in terms of national polling vs the EC. We know what Biden won by in terms of the popular vote and we know what that translated to in the EC. It is perfectly reasonable to look at both 2016 and 2020 to see what we might get now.
Enter stage left
(3,823 posts)But we're fulltime rvers and spend very little time there.
I really like the Black Hills area of SD, the rest is just ok.
BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)Do you vote absentee or do you have to go back in November to vote?
Enter stage left
(3,823 posts)DeepWinter
(411 posts)Any good RV life websites you use? I'm considering that in about 5 years when I retire.
Enter stage left
(3,823 posts)BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)🦶
BlueTsunami2018
(3,933 posts)According to a certain asshole.
Bad things for him anyway.
BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)Won't happen this time.
Polybius
(17,601 posts)Only 30% of DU voters in this poll are in states that Trump won in 2020.
Would love to get a couple hundred responses.. 49% of states went Republican.
Mz Pip
(27,884 posts)when Trumpers predict Trump will win California in 2024.
BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)At that point it will truly be over for this version of the Republican Party.
Trueblue1968
(18,018 posts)BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)Pretty sure you beat us to it.
Mz Pip
(27,884 posts)vote by mail in California.
BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)The Third Doctor
(366 posts)BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)have Wyoming or West Virginia ever gone Dem since the parties flipped?
The Third Doctor
(366 posts)Xavier Breath
(4,937 posts)However, since '64, West Virginia voted for Humphrey in '68, Carter in both '76 and '80, Michael Dukakis in '88, and Clinton in both '92 and '96. So, WV voted Democratic in six of the eight elections from from '68 to '96. I did not know that.
Zambero
(9,722 posts)In 1964, Barry Goldwater was about 5,000 votes shy of tipping Idaho in his favor. Has voted GOP for president ever since.
Elessar Zappa
(15,705 posts)Dems won by 10%.
BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)Go NM!
Elessar Zappa
(15,705 posts)But the results are interesting.
orthoclad
(4,728 posts)If the Reich Wing can plan for 50 years to overthrow Roe, we can do that. Somehow. No more of this "it's too haaaard"  billions of lives are at stake.
Forget all these byzantine "paths to victory". The EC is a global danger; the Reich Wing, aided by Big Tech, has figured out how to game it in any close election. Half the prezzes in this century have lost the popular vote.
A big turnout and heavy numbers worked in 2020, but that's a oneshot temporary fix to a major systemic problem.
BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)once Texas goes blue.
It will be so over for them otherwise.
But I agree, it sucks to know your vote doesn't directly affect the outcome.
BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)asuhornets
(2,425 posts)BWdem4life
(2,457 posts)I see no reason Kamala can't repeat the performance.