Which House and Senate elections...

[Upthevibe]

are close and in play for Democrats?

I know I could google but I thought some DU'ers might have this information readily available.

I'll be sending an email to my friend/family group either today or tomorrow letting them know where their contributions might best be used.

A few weeks ago I wouldn't have included Colin Allred vrs. Ted Cruz but now it looks like Allred might have a chance. I've said this several times on DU but I'll say it again....I'm looking for races that are in play and not ones that we wish were (I always use Mitch McConnel vrs. Amy McGrath from 2020 as an example):

Mitch McConnell Amy McGrath
Popular vote 1,233,315 816,257
Percentage 57.76% 38.23%

I had a friend who sent $100 to McGrath and that $100 could maybe have gone to a more winnable race.

Thank you!

[rurallib]

1. We got a couple in Iowa - Ia-01 and Ia-03

In Iowa-01 Democrat Christina Bohannan appears to slightly ahead of incumbent Marionette Miller-Meeks (R).
The district is very close to 50-50. Miller-Meeks has run into some questions on whether she lives in the district and on her abortion stance. (I am feeling Christina is going to win)
You may remember the Miller-Meeks first won in one of the closest elections ever in 2020 by 6 votes.

Iowa-03 - Lanon Bacca (D) vs incumbent Zack Nunn
It is looking like Baccam is slightly ahead. Nunn is particularly unlikeable. It will be close.

[Upthevibe]

7. rurallib.....

You're awesome!

This is exactly what I'm look for.

Thank you soooooooo much!

[rurallib]

8. New Cook Report just came out today moving both of these

from 'lean R' to 'toss-up'

Christina is a friend of mine and a great person. Miller-Meeks is as phony they come.

[Upthevibe]

10. rurallib.......

Thank you!

[Upthevibe]

11. rurallib..............

Thank you!

[rurallib]

16. Thank you!

[Gaytano70]

2. Not Democratic candidate, but ...

Dan Osborn (I), Senate candidate in Nebraska, is now one-point ahead of incumbent R, Deb Fisher. Dan is a strong union guy, and he supports choice for women. Ten percent still claim to be undecided in NE, but it used to be 30% undecided. Dan is getting the votes, and I am hoping that blood red Nebraska will stun the country by awarding (at least) one electoral vote to Harris-Walz, send Tony Vargas to Congress (now running ahead of Don Bacon), and the upset of the century would be Osborn over Fisher!
https://www.ketv.com/article/new-poll-shows-osborn-leading-fischer-as-more-ads-hit-screens-in-nebraska-senate-race/62360600

[Jack Valentino]

4. A newer poll just put Osborn up by five,

but the sample size was small
https://www.newsweek.com/nebraska-senate-race-polling-dan-osborn-1963115

[Gaytano70]

6. You beat me to it, Jack!

Was just coming to update my post!
Go Dan!

[rurallib]

9. that is great to hear!

[Upthevibe]

12. Gaytano70..............

Thank you!

[Polybius]

15. Now up by 5 in the latest poll

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/nebraska/general/

[ananda]

3. Allred is definitely in play.

I hope he can squeak it out.

[Upthevibe]

13. ananda..........

Thank you!

[WarGamer]

5. Garcia (R) CA-27 is in real trouble and could be a red to blue switch...

I've been sending $ to Whitesides (D)

[Upthevibe]

14. WarGamer..........

Thank you!

[tavernier]

17. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is neck to neck with Voldemort

in Florida. Sure would like to see a win in that one!!

(It’s Rick Scott, for those who don’t speak Democratic Floridian)

[Upthevibe]

18. tavernier

Thank you!

That's exactly what I'm looking for

[tavernier]

21. Much appreciated!

[Upthevibe]

19. Another question........

Which major polls do you guys feel have some credibility?

[Jmb 4 Harris-Walz]

22. I like the ones from THE HILL

https://elections2024.thehill.com/national/harris-trump-general/

[Jmb 4 Harris-Walz]

20. US House Colorado CD 4

Lauren Boebert (R) vs. Trisha Calvarese (D)

Boebert is vulnerable here, she only won in the last election by just over 500 votes in CD 03. She moved to CD 04 as she thought she’d do better. However, she’s up against Calvarese who easily bested Boebert in the only debate they’ve had and Boebert has refused calls for another. Calvarese is from this area, came back home from DC area when both her parents were diagnosed with cancer. After their deaths she decided to stay and help her community; she is determined to replace “BEETLEJUICE” Boebert!

Discovered this campaign after watching this request from an old white guy…

Here is Calvarese’s new ad…