Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
Tue Jan 1, 2013, 04:16 PM Jan 2013

Guess the # of Republican defectors and Democratic defectors

Assuming any substantial House amendments are stripped out in conference, meaning the final vote is on essentially the Senate deal as it stands...

I am going with 150 House Republicans voting against the Senate deal and 40 House Democrats voting against it.


('defector' is a not a pejorative here. Just meaning voting contrary to party leaders Boehneer and Pelosi who will both vote for it.)

5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Guess the # of Republican defectors and Democratic defectors (Original Post) cthulu2016 Jan 2013 OP
I'll play....175 Republicans vote against, 35 Democrats against.... Rowdyboy Jan 2013 #1
Well, it would still pass under that scenario frazzled Jan 2013 #2
151 Republicans, 16 Democrats.....You win, hands down! Rowdyboy Jan 2013 #3
Naw. 16 versus 40 is a sizable miss. cthulu2016 Jan 2013 #5
It is a clean bill nadinbrzezinski Jan 2013 #4

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
2. Well, it would still pass under that scenario
Tue Jan 1, 2013, 04:33 PM
Jan 2013

It needs 217 to pass, right? With 190 voting against it, presumably 242 would be voting for, minus a certain number who are still in bed nursing hangovers or who abstain from voting.

My guess is that they'll pull just the exact number they need to offset the Democratic defectors ... so I'm guessing somewhere in the 180s or 190s voting against on the Republican side.

cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
5. Naw. 16 versus 40 is a sizable miss.
Wed Jan 2, 2013, 03:25 AM
Jan 2013

I think my guess on Republicans was sound, but I thought it would be a closer vote overall.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Guess the # of Republican...