Good news - PPP poll shows Brown leading Markey by 3

[Mass]

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2013/01/30/brown_holds_early_lead_in_special_election.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+PoliticalWire+%28Political+Wire%29

Brown Holds Early Lead in Special Election
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Massachusetts finds Scott Brown (R) edging Ed Markey (D) in a possible special election match up to fill the seat of Sen. John Kerry (D-MA), 48% to 45%.

Caveat: "69% of the voters currently undecided voted for Elizabeth Warren in November, while only 17% of them voted for Brown. If those folks ended up voting for the same party that they did in November, Markey would lead Brown by a point. Brown may be starting out at 48%, but it's a very hard path to 50 for him given who the undecideds are."

This is going a close race, but a winnable race.

[Dawson Leery]

1. Most voters will want to see Obama succeed.

That will work in Markey's favor.

[JaneyVee]

2. How is Brown leading good news?

[Mass]

3. Close race while Markey has a lot less name recognition than Brown.

We start this race as a statistical tie.